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keen on the depression
via rolfe winkler -- at the per capita policy exchange conference, october 2009. abandon all hope ye who enter here.
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obama to move away from deficit spending in 2010
politico scoops the news , which comes in light of jon corzine's loss of the governorship of solidly blue state new jersey. The president's plan, which the officials said was under discussion before this month’s Democratic election setbacks, represents both a practical and a political ...
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stealth depression of small business
ed harrison highlights david rosenberg's morning note on future revisions to GDP data. Translation: small businesses are suffering disproportionately because of a credit crunch. Their pain is not adequately reflected in the numbers because of big company bias in real-time data. GDP growth is ...
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IEA accused of masking peak oil
the guardian yesterday reported on a whistleblower asserting that the international energy agency has succumbed to pressure from the united states to misrepresent global oil production and recoverable reserves from new discoveries in an effort to cover up a global peak and decline in oil, ...
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deficits, transfers and spending
i've come to harp on the need of the federal government to provide the counterbalance in national accounts needed to offset private sector balance sheet repair if a deflationary collapse is to be at least mitigated, if not avoided. but it's necessary to note that, while the government is going ...
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AWHI and its irrelevance
another update with the release of the october jobs report of the aggregate weekly hours index. but i'm frankly not sure why i bother. the moderation in the decline of AWHI, a traditional precursor of recovery, was noted in june . a month ago, i called into question the nascent recovery implied ...
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eye of the housing hurricane
eye of the housing hurricane
declineandfallofwesterncivilization.blogspot.com — via the daily crux , dan ferris offers the updated mortgage recast chart presented by whitney tilson illustrating all too well the option ARM impulse that looms between today and 2012. though many variable-rate mortgage resets are mitigated by the ... (more) eye of the housing hurricane
japanese LEI and the nikkei
as albert edwards is drawing parallels to japanese fits of frantic leading indicator expansion followed by disaster selloffs, it seems appropriate to highlight the history of the japanese LEI as maintained by the conference board through the period 1990-2005, which contains virtually the entire ...
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ECRI weekly leading index turns down
via zero hedge , albert edwards outlines a basic investment strategy for the duration of the balance sheet recession. One of the key conclusions from our late-1996 Ice Age thesis was that once the bubble burst, the close 35-year positive correlation between equity and bond yields would break ...
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obama maintains expanded presidential powers
glenn greenwald in salon comments on the sharpest attack to date on the obama administration by the new york times. my question: why did anyone think that a democratic president, any more than a republican president, would be inclined to diminish the power of his (or her) office? was that ever ...
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