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Top Five Market Timers
Hey, gotta capture these moments while they last... in the top five market timers at The Capital Institute .  It's just for fun, but check it out if you want to try to qualify to see what others are thinking.
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12.04.09 - More Wild Oscillations
Might as well recycle that title... a real megaphone pattern evolving here even as momentum oscillators contract inversely. In spite of the huge dollar/ materials reaction this morning, internals are mostly positive and the VIX is coming down, so I believe we can minimally hold those reaction ...
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12.03.09 - Wild Oscillations
The market has oscillated like a 60s go-go dancer this morning, only now settling into a tighter coil formation.  Indeed, the early morning pop on the BAC TARP pay-down faded fast on less than stellar retail sales and ISM Services reports.  In fact, all of the leading sectors that I ...
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12.02.09 - Financials & Energy Hold Back Advance
The market is having a difficult time in the face of weak Financial and Energy sector performances.   While the balance of volume still suggests a range day, right now my other internal indicators are looking weak.  Nevertheless, there is still a slight preference for risk ...
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12.01.09 - Shiny New Month Pop
Good economic readings combined with strong seasonality have provided us with a nice up move containing nearly all the components for a verified trend-day.  The only lacking component I'd say is an upward sloping A-D line, though it is certainly very net strong.  The VIX is down ...
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11.30.09 - VIX still Rising
The VIX has continued its move higher on conflicting Dubai and retail sales reports and interpretations, leaving the Russell 2000 (IWM) down nearly a full percent.  Down Volume is slightly outpacing Up Volume, Cumulative Tick is very negative and the Advance - Decline line has been ...
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ETF Rewind - Week 48 (11/27/09)
(Click Image to Enlarge/ Glossary ) In spite of the late week Dubai World induced rout, equities put in a mixed performance depending where you looked, and losses were well contained on balance. For instance, even as the majors finished marginally lower (SPY -0.2% ), the "safety trade" ...
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11.28.09 - Bull Eats Bear
As you might have guessed last night, the dollar received a big boost on the Dubai news and commodities have been inversely crushed.  But most of the damage had already largely been done, and the bulls have come in to clean up the Holiday trimmings, erasing nearly half of the early ...
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Happy Thanksgiving!
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11.25.09 - Small Move on Strong Internals
We are seeing very strong Tick action and healthy Up Volume and Advance - Decline lines at the mid-day (although the AD line slope is easing up). The only small exception is the VIX, which, after threatening to break twenty, has ticked back higher. Sector wise, Energy seems to be carrying the ...
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11.24.09 - Slow Boat to Nowhere
The market is looking weak this morning, more so than price belies.  Volatility is very low, in fact we are pushing VIX-20 again, but I'll be wanting to keep a close eye on any changes either way with volume as light as it is.
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11.23.09 - Heavy Quant Action
Friday's oversold state was bought heavily on the home sales catalyst, but on this light volume I see many of my long positions being held back at various key intra-day moving averages -- a sure sign of Quant Players dominating the trade.  Although the market has faded a touch, we are ...
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ETF Rewind - Week 47 (11/20/09)
(Click Image to Enlarge/ Glossary ) Weekend festivities at a dear friend's birthday celebration have this post particularly short.  A mixed week for equities left the S&P 500 down -0.2% even as the Dow Jones Industrials managed to edge higher some +0.7% .  However, all the ...
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Edging in on DV Indicator Differentials
Edging in on DV Indicator Differentials
marketrewind.blogspot.com — As a congratulatory hat tip to David Varadi on the launch of his new DV Indicators website,... this post investigates potential trading edges gained by combining observations of the absolute value of David’s bounded DV indicator together with its ... (more) Edging in on DV Indicator Differentials
11.20.09 - Downside Follow Through
Well, it has been a while since we have seen any downside follow through and here we have it. Nevertheless, the SPX has been able to hold the overnight lows just above 1,080 and price has been moving mostly sideways since mid-morning. Cumulative Tick has managed to repair itself somewhat, but ...
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11.19.09 - Comeuppance vs SPX 1,090 Support
The S&P finally hit an air pocket after days of lateral move and mixed technical indications.  Normally I'd expect this reaction to take us back to 1,080, but for now we are finding good support at the round SPX 1,090 level, and we'll just have to see how enticing this is as a buy ...
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11.18.09 - Second Day of Consolidation?
Internals are running sideways with price.  It's possible consolidation here as short-term overbought readings cool off through time.  By the same token, we are seeing fewer new highs and the intermediate-MACD indicator again appears poised to roll over.  At the very least we ...
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11.17.09 - Inverse Dollar Trade Persists
At the mid-day we have seen mild selling pressure at best after yesterday's breakout move, though perhaps today is the bigger tell. While 1,120 is just around the corner, I still see signs that the end of this cycle is near. I am hopeful that my internet connection will be up and running very ...
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11.16.09 - Second Stage Launch
Horrid internet issues after a series of windstorms have me out-of-pocket once more and holed up in an internet cafe.  The morning economic reports provided enough bullish confirmation for another big push higher even though last week's action had left many short-term indicators rolled ...
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ETF Rewind - Week 46 (11/13/09)
(Click Image to Enlarge/ Glossary ) After a somewhat bumpier ride, the S&P500 (SPY) finished its second week in a row higher, up +2.3% .  This seemed paltry against the Real Estate (IYR) sector's +6.2% gain on hints of extended low costs of borrowing, while the Energy (XLE) ...
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