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To everyone, We're signing off for the rest of the week. Have a good Thanksgiving. We'll be back on Monday.
Other
This is Bonddad. I mention that because there are four writers here: me, New Deal Democrat, Invictus and Silver Oz. I (as in Bonddad) still believe the economy will grow in the 1%-2% range for the next few quarters. I have been saying that for the previous 6 months. Until I see otherwise, I will ...
Commodities
Personal Finance
Silver
In addition to the very good (relatively speaking of course) Initial Jobless Claims report this morning (see below), there were 4 other economic releases pushed up to today due to the Thanksgiving holiday. Two were good, two not so good. Personal income and spending were both up: Personal ...
Stocks
Personal Finance
Click for a larger image A.) In September and October, prices rose in a gentler manner. They'd hit a high and the round out the action. This allowed the market to absorb the gains. B.) So far this month, gold is simply screaming higher. C.) The RSI is telling us prices are a bit overbought, ...
Commodities
Gold
The BLS reported that for the week ending Nov. 21, seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims were 466,000. Last week's number was revised to 501,000. This is the best showing since "Black September" 2008 when the economy nearly ground to a panicked halt. The 4-week moving average was 496,500 ...
Stocks
BellSouth
Sorry for being late with this. This week has been very crazy with with are traveling. A.) Prices broke a two month uptrend B.) Prices are now in a new uptrend that is confirmed by C.) A Rising MACD D.) A very strong A/D line that indicates there is a strong demand for Treasuries and E.) A ...
Government
Treasury Bills
Click for a larger image The main issue with the agricultural prices chart is there is no clear direction either way. There are three different consolidation patterns with no strong up or down move between them. The MACD and RSI confirm there is no momentum in either direction. The EMAs are ...
Other
The FOMC released the minutes from its Nov. 3-4 meetings. Lately these minutes have really had something for everyone. As for me, I picked up on the following: "While these developments were positive, participants noted that it was not clear how much of the recent firming in final demand ...
Government
60 Minutes
Federal Open Market Committee
I'm still traveling. Posting will be sporadic today and tomorrow. I think all of us will be taking Thursday and Friday off. From the BEA: Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate ...
Currencies
Gross Domestic Product
This is Bonddad -- I'm traveling early tomorrow AM and am hopelessly behind on packing right now. I'll post some market stuff when I get to Cincinnati where my wife and I are spending Thanksgiving.
Stocks
American Greetings
The Chicago Fed’s National Activity Index (CFNAI) printed yesterday, and the 3-month moving average – which is what the folks in Chicago tell us to look at – declined for the first time in 2009 (click through for larger image): Though not necessarily cause for concern, the decline is ...
Government
NBER
Employment Downturn
From The Street.com Geithner's tenure has been rocky with lawmakers and the public, and recently he has appeared to have fallen out of favor again. Geithner has come under criticism for the Obama administration's regulatory overhaul, which he had a key role in developing, as well as the ...
Government
American International Group
Barack Obama
From the BLS: Regional and state unemployment rates were generally little changed or higher in October. Twenty-nine states and the District of Columbia recorded over-the-month unemployment rate increases, 13 states registered rate decreases, and 8 states had no rate change, the U.S. Bureau of ...
Stocks
Unemployment
Steve Jobs
From the WSJ: The world's developed economies emerged from recession in the third quarter, as their combined gross domestic product grew for the first time since the first three months of 2008. Figures released Monday by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development showed economic ...
Commodities
Recession
Gross Domestic Product
Click for a larger image The P&F chart really shows how large cap stocks have done. Above is a P&F chart of the OEF -- the ETF that tracks the S&P 100, or the biggest stocks in the S&P. Notice that there is a ton of volume on the up moves. Also note there is only one small ...
Other
- by New Deal demcrat Both the monthly data and the high frequency weekly data were mixed, but with a generally bullish bias. The monthly data included a bad housing report, mediocre increases in industrial production and capacity utilization, a decent but not outstanding LEI, an mixed Empire ...
Stocks
In September I took a long look at Leading Indicators for job growth, and concluded that they have historically turned in the following order : (1) Real retail sales bottom and turn. (2) Initial Jobless claims turn. (3) The ISM manufacturing index turns above 50, i.e., signals actual growth. (4) ...
Stocks
Steve Jobs
Invictus has a piece just below where he highlights a fairly typical event: a public figure making up facts as they go along. Unfortunately, this is more and more of a regular event. At first I found this existed on the right side of the political aisle. The reality is extremely conservative ...
Other
We're still seeing an incredibly bearish overall trend in place. Note that we are still seeing a trend of lower highs (A) and lower lows (B). Also note the bearish orientation of the EMAs (D) -- all are moving lower and the shorter are below the longer. However, there is still the possibility ...
