TRADING THE ODDS Latest Blog Posts

http://www.tradingtheodds.com/ - A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly,&nbsp

tradingtheodds.com - 2 days ago

Jobs Report Friday (Friday – December 4, 2009)

— tradingtheodds.com — I’m a bit busy these days with some private and business matters, so blogging (and Twitter updates)... were (and will probably remain for a couple of days and weeks) light. I am sorry for any inconvenience. On today’s Friday we’ll get the government’s November jobs report at ... (more) Jobs Report Friday (Friday – December 4, 2009)

Stocks

Steve Jobs

S&P 500

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fhogelucht posted 2 days agoposted this

tradingtheodds.com - 6 days ago

Investors Intelligence and the Market’s intermediate-term Performance

— tradingtheodds.com — On Wednesday, November 25, Investors Intelligence (Advisors’s Sentiment, an aggregation of the forecasts of more than 100... newsletter writers) reported the percentage of ‘ bullish ‘ newsletter writers at 50.6% and the percentage of ‘ bearish ‘ newsletter ... (more) Investors Intelligence and the Market’s ...

Stocks

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fhogelucht posted 6 days agoposted this

tradingtheodds.com - 8 days ago

TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 30, 2009

— tradingtheodds.com — On Thursday’s session European indices (and futures on US major market indices) tanked on Dubai news (the... ES E-MINI S&P 500 was temporarily down -3.75% ), but although US major market indices closed sharply lower on Friday’s half trading day, the ES E-MINI S&P 500 was ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 30, 2009

Stocks

S&P 500

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fhogelucht posted 8 days agoposted this

tradingtheodds.com - 13 days ago

TRADING THE ODDS on Tuesday – November 24, 2009

— tradingtheodds.com — On Monday’s session we couldn’t have asked for more: With Monday’s intraday low +0.78% above Friday’s intraday... high, the ES E-MINI S&P 500 left the (expected) unfilled (opening) gap up and closed on a strong note +1.01% above Friday’s high, but posted ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Tuesday – November 24, 2009

Stocks

S&P 500

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fhogelucht posted 13 days agoposted this

tradingtheodds.com - 13 days ago

Thanksgiving and Stock Market’s Performance

— tradingtheodds.com — This is a follow-up to my post TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 23, 2009 .... Thanksgiving (exchange holiday, with a shortened session on Friday, November 26) is celebrated on the fourth Thursday in November, this year on November 26. I thought it would be interesting to check if ... (more) Thanksgiving and Stock Market’s Performance

Stocks

S&P 500

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fhogelucht posted 13 days agoposted this

tradingtheodds.com - 15 days ago

TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 23, 2009

— tradingtheodds.com — Although the ES E-MINI S&P 500 did not comply to the positive outlook (concerning the close) based... on those setups which were triggered on Thursday’s close (market internals like Calls and Puts traded on an uptick/downtick, and the percentage of stocks penetrating their previous ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 23, 2009

Stocks

S&P 500

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fhogelucht posted 15 days agoposted this

tradingtheodds.com - 17 days ago

TRADING THE ODDS on Friday – November 20, 2009

— tradingtheodds.com — On Thursday’s session market internals were heavily lopsided on the downside, but nevertheless the ES E-MINI S&P... 500 managed to close in the upper half of it’s daily trading range the fifth day in a row. The ES E-MINI S&P 500 left an unfilled opening gap on the ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Friday – November 20, 2009

Stocks

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fhogelucht posted 17 days agoposted this

tradingtheodds.com - 22 days ago

TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 16, 2009

— tradingtheodds.com — On Friday’s session the ES E-MINI S&P 500 managed a small gain on the close, but did... never seriously challenge Thursday’s intraday high. But there was some remarkable weakness beneath the surface: Despite the fact that almost all US major market indices (S&P 500, ES ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 16, 2009

Stocks

S&P 500

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fhogelucht posted 22 days agoposted this

tradingtheodds.com - 25 days ago

TRADING THE ODDS on Thursday – November 12, 2009

— tradingtheodds.com — A short note : Due to some private and business matters, from now on I’ll probably not... be able to keep on publishing a post on a daily basis (at least not within one or two hours after the close, Twitter updates remain unaffected). _________________________ On Wednesday’s ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Thursday – November 12, 2009

Stocks

S&P 500

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fhogelucht posted 25 days agoposted this

tradingtheodds.com - 28 days ago

TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009 (Follow-Up)

— tradingtheodds.com — A couple of minutes ago I noticed that there was another setup triggered on Friday’s close, in... particular confirming the negative outlook with respect to the first part of Monday’s session (see my posting TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009 ). On Friday the ES ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009 (Follow-Up)

Stocks

S&P 500

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fhogelucht posted 28 days agoposted this

tradingtheodds.com - 29 days ago

TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009

— tradingtheodds.com — Friday marked the second consecutive session where the ES E-MINI S&P 500 showed the expected weakness already... during the GLOBEX session (posting a pre-opening low of at least -0.75% ), but recouped all of it’s pre-opening and/or intraday losses and managed a gain on the close. ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009