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http://weeksnotice.blogspot.com/ - I'm Greg Weeks, an Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte. My research interests are Latin American politics, U.S.-Latin American relations, and immigration. Here is my <a ...
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As I had earlier written , the Honduran TSE had initially estimated 61% turnout, which has now been revised down to 49% (though we still rely on news reports, as I still don't see final numbers on the TSE site). And, indeed, I should have reported that turnout in 2005 was 55% rather than 45%. So ...
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Dilma Rousseff, who is Lula's Chief of Staff, said that Brazil would have to take the Honduran elections into consideration. "Em Honduras não estávamos discutindo eleição, estávamos discutindo golpe de Estado. Há uma diferença muito grande entre uma coisa e outra", disse Dilma "Acho que esse ...
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Particularly because of Honduras, other elections in the hemisphere are getting less attention. In Bolivia, another reason for that is the outcome is not much in doubt: Evo Morales will win re-election by a very wide margin. The most recent poll has him at 55%, with Manfred Reyes at a distant ...
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The Honduran Congress voted no on Mel Zelaya's reinstatement. La Prensa reports a vote of 111-14. Now things get sticky. The government is complying with the letter of with the Tegucigalpa-San José Accord, which did not guarantee Zelaya's return. But some countries, including Brazil, want to ...
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Kevin Casas-Zamora has a stinging article at Foreign Policy , arguing that everyone lost in Honduras, and what lost the most was democracy. He concludes: Alas, there's not a lot to gloat about in the outcome of this hapless episode. Micheletti and Lobo are simply the last men standing on a ...
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I read Margaret MacMillan's Dangerous Games: The Uses and Abuses of History , which I found both thought provoking and unsatisfying. That is because she offers nuggets of interesting analysis, particularly when she compares the use of history in specific contexts (e.g. the Israeli/Palestinian ...
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It appears that a broad demand by countries that opposed the coup is to accept Mel Zelaya's brief reinstatement before Pepe Lobo takes office. From the Ibero-American Summit : "They consider that the reinstatement of President Manuel Zelaya to the position that he was democratically elected ...
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Rereading an article for class, I ran across this paragraph in an article about U.S. policy toward Latin America during the George W. Bush administration. Replace "Moscow" with "Caracas." How much has changed? When civil strife erupted in Central America in the 1980s, these Reaganites saw only ...
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So who will recognize the Honduran elections? President Calderón of Mexico says the elections are a necessary but not sufficient condition for the re-establishment of constitutional order. He does not specify what "constitutional order" means. Further: [L]a democracia en nuestros pueblos está ...
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We will have to wait for the final numbers, but La Prensa reports the TSE announced turnout for the Honduran elections as 61% . That is now being reported widely . The U.S. State Department has already noted the turnout : Turnout appears to have exceeded that of the last presidential election. ...
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As had been long expected, Porfirio "Pepe" Lobo is being called the winner of the Honduran presidential election. The more interesting question, of course, is turnout. Since the Tribunal Superior Electoral's Web site has been inaccessible for hours, there are no numbers. Subscribe in a ...
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From the New York Times : But while turnout appeared low in some poorer areas, in the wealthy Tegucigalpa neighborhood of Lomas del Guijarro, people waited in voting lines for nearly an hour. “The only way to solve the problem is to come and vote and choose the right people,” said Javier ...
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Day Trader
According to El Heraldo's "Minuto por Minuto" Twitter feed , voting will be extended until 5 p.m. Honduran time (6 p.m. EST). In addition, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral will not allow any results to be disseminated until 7 p.m. (8 p.m. EST) Honduran time. I've been trying to access the TSE's ...
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From Charles II at Mercury Rising : Radio Globo is down. Channel 36 is down. The El Libertador journalists are in hiding. Tiempo is trimming its coverage (or is simply unable to get reporters out to what is going on) so that the coup doesn’t shut it down. El Progreso is playing bouncy music; no ...
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The people of Honduras began voting just a short while ago, though strangely enough the "virtual observer" cameras at the Tribunal Supremo Electoral all show empty rooms. As of now, there is a grand total of five countries that have expressed willingness to recognize the results. My hunch is ...
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Ginger Thompson at the New York Times has a well-argued critique of the Obama administration's handling of the Honduran crisis and how it will likely affect its relations with Latin America. The United States was slow to criticize human rights abuses by the de facto government, but swift to ...
Government
Barack Obama
The Honduran Supreme Court ruled that Mel Zelaya cannot be reinstated unless he faces the pending charges against him. These were, we should remember, the charges that were pending against him on June 28, when the military decided it was better to forcibly and illegally exile him rather than let ...
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Scott Keeter at the Pew Hispanic Center takes a look at the prospects for immigration reform in 2010. The main conclusion is that not much has changed. People support the idea of reform but are ambivalent about many aspects of immigration, while the issue is consistently viewed as less important ...
Government
Barack Obama
Republican
Sarah Palin
pc at Ganchoblog notes that AMLO (André Manuel López Obrador) is "refounding" his shadow government. He has ten goals: 1) Rescuing the state and putting it at the service of the people and the nation 2) Democratizing the mass media 3) Creating a new economy 4) Combating monopolistic ...
