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Employment Report
Employment Report
angrybear.blogspot.com — The BLS just wished the Obama administration a very merry Christmas with a very encouraging employment report.... It was still a report that things are worsening at a lesser rate as far as employment was concerned, but other employment reports were ... (more) Employment Report
Goldman Sachs 2011 forecast would be an absolute disaster for Dems
blogs.reuters.com — The implications? I hardly know where to begin. (more) Goldman Sachs 2011 forecast would be an absolute ...

Gross Domestic Product Latest Blog Posts

The Employment Situation in Graphs
21 hours ago at Econbrowser
Christina Romer: Putting Americans Back to Work
Christina Romer: Putting Americans Back to Work
online.wsj.com — CHRISTINA ROMER President Obama took office at the height of the worst downturn since the Great Depression.... Following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in the fall of 2008, both weak and strong financial institutions faced panic-induced runs, and by ... (more) Christina Romer: Putting Americans Back to Work
Double dip warning
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com — The chances of a relapse into recession seem to be rising.... (more) Double dip warning
False idols: are US consumers really over leveraged?
False idols: are US consumers really over leveraged?
ftalphaville.ft.com — If there is one axiom of today’s Pigovian pessimism it is the idea that after decades of... decadent reliance on debt to goose up consumption, US consumers are structurally over leveraged. And that it may take a decade or more of pain to unwind the ... (more) False idols: are US consumers really over leveraged?
Dubai 's GDP to touch AED174.6 billion in 2009
ameinfo.com — This came in a paper submitted on the second day of the 3rd Documentation and Electronic Archiving... Conference, currently being held at the Dubai International Convention Centre. Dr. Zainal Abideen Wafaee, Statistics Expert at Dubai Municipality's ... (more) Dubai 's GDP to touch AED174.6 billion in 2009
The dollar and the budget deficit
VoxEU.org — Fred Bergsten , 27 November 2009 Current US fiscal policy is likely to produce current account deficits... rising to $1 trillion by 2015 and $3 trillion by 2025; net foreign debt would reach $15 trillion by 2020, taking the US’s foreign-debt-to-GDP ... (more) The dollar and the budget deficit
The global distribution of carbon emissions
The global distribution of carbon emissions
VoxEU.org — Jean-Marie Grether , Nicole A. Mathys , 21 November 2009 What is the geographical distribution of CO2... emissions? This column identifies the Earth’s “polluting centre of gravity” since 1970. It is heading east faster than GDP, which suggests that ... (more) The global distribution of carbon emissions
Fed sees risks in low rates policy
ft.com — BySarah O’Connor in Washington Published: November 24 2009 21:23 | Last updated: November 24 2009 23:20 Federal... Reserve officials have expressed concerns that near-zero interest rates could fuel “excessive risk-taking in financial markets” but believe ... (more) Fed sees risks in low rates policy
GDP Revisions Keep Recession ay Bay
GDP Revisions Keep Recession ay Bay
247wallst.com — This morning we just received the first revision to third quarter Gross Domestic Product. The original unrevised... figure was reported +3.5% for Q3, and the revision came in at +2.8%. Bloomberg had a consensus estimate of 2.8% for today’s ... (more) GDP Revisions Keep Recession ay Bay
FOMC Narrows Unemployment, Inflation and GDP Targets
FOMC Narrows Unemployment, Inflation and GDP Targets
247wallst.com — The November 3 to 4 Minutes of the FOMC meeting are now out, and as you have... been told over and over (and over and over)…. It has the flexibility to keep rates low for an extended period of time. But what is of interest is the new FOMC outlook ... (more) FOMC Narrows Unemployment, Inflation and GDP Targets
Recovery in Perspective: Nominal GDP Edition
Recovery in Perspective: Nominal GDP Edition
econompicdata.blogspot.com — Remember that "recovery" we experienced in the third quarter? Turns out nominal GDP bounced a "whopping" 3.2%... (down 1% from the initial release). Or to put this figure in perspective, the 42nd highest quarter out of the last 251 or one of the lowest ... (more) Recovery in Perspective: Nominal GDP Edition
Blaming It on Obama
Blaming It on Obama
baselinescenario.com — Last week I wrote a post about “ government debt hysteria ” that has gotten a lot... of attention because of a link from Paul Krugman . (As Felix Salmon , said, “blogging is a lottery on the individual-blog-entry level.”) The main point of last week’s post was not ... (more) Blaming It on Obama
U.S. Share of World GDP Remarkably Constant
U.S. Share of World GDP Remarkably Constant
mjperry.blogspot.com — Somewhat surprisingly, the Economic Research Service of the U.S. Department of Agriculture has some great international historical... macroeconomic datasets . According to its website: The International Macroeconomic Data Set provides data from 1969 ... (more) U.S. Share of World GDP Remarkably Constant
Joke Europeans
Joke Europeans
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com — If these countries can run up debts of more than 100 percent of GDP without being destroyed... by bond vigilantes, so can we. (more) Joke Europeans
Chavez says Venezuela in recession, by US yardstick
reuters.com — CARACAS, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Oil-exporting Venezuela is in recession, its socialist President Hugo Chavez said on... Saturday, adding that the capitalist system of measuring economic growth was established in the United States. "When an economy shrinks ... (more) Chavez says Venezuela in recession, by US yardstick
The small bank – big bank dichotomy
hf-implode.com — "After a huge fall off in credit consistent with the fall in nominal GDP, we are seeing... credit stabilise at a lower level. Debt to GDP ratios may not be lower, but as GDP is lower, so too is credit in the system. Yet there is a large difference between the haves and the have-nots, largely due to ... (more) The small bank – big bank dichotomy
Will the recovery be "jobless"?
gecon.blogspot.com — A lot of economists are worried that the recovery from the 2007-09 recession, like those following the... 1990-91 and 2001 recessions, will be "jobless." Mark Thoma , for example, writes Historically, a good rule of thumb has been that the peak in ... (more) Will the recovery be "jobless"?
Contrasting the American and Chinese Economies
Contrasting the American and Chinese Economies
blog.ockhamresearch.com — The information below was compiled by The New York Times earlier this week and it provides some... useful graphics for comparison of the two more important economies on the globe.  Some things revealed in the data will surprise no one such as the fact that China is growing rapidly or that ... (more) Contrasting the American and Chinese Economies
The curious economic effects of religion
boston.com — That hell could matter to economic growth might seem surprising, since you can’t prove it exists, let... alone quantify it. It stands as one of the more intriguing findings in a growing body of recent research exploring how religion might influence the ... (more) The curious economic effects of religion
Pace of growth picks up in Japan
ft.com — Published: November 16 2009 01:11 | Last updated: November 16 2009 20:10 Shoppers in Tokyo Shoppers in... Tokyo: domestic demand accounted for 0.8 percentage points of the 1.2 per cent quarter-on-quarter GDP rise > EDITOR’S CHOICE Too early to call ... (more) Pace of growth picks up in Japan
Japanese GDP... The Worst 4.8% GDP Print Ever?
Japanese GDP... The Worst 4.8% GDP Print Ever?
econompicdata.blogspot.com — EconomPic detailed Japan's odd Q2 GDP print in which real GDP rebounded to positive territory for the... first time since Q4 2007, even as nominal GDP continued to contract: This has happened before (but real GDP has never been higher, while nominal GDP ... (more) Japanese GDP... The Worst 4.8% GDP Print Ever?
destatis Gross domestic product in 3rd quarter of 2009 increasing 0.7% on the previous quarter
destatis.de — Press release No.430 / 2009-11-13 Gross domestic product in 3rd quarter of 2009 increasing 0.7% on the... previous quarter WIESBADEN – The German economy continues to recover: As reported by the Federal Statistical Office ( Destatis ), the gross domestic ... (more) destatis Gross domestic product in 3rd quarter of 2009 ...
Eurozone GDP Breaks Through Zero... Concerns Still There
Eurozone GDP Breaks Through Zero... Concerns Still There
econompicdata.blogspot.com — Bloomberg reports: Gross domestic product in the economy of the 16 nations using the euro rose 0.4... percent from the second quarter, when it fell 0.2 percent, the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said today. Economists had forecast the ... (more) Eurozone GDP Breaks Through Zero... Concerns Still There
Eurozone turns a GDP corner
ftalphaville.ft.com — Huzzah! The Eurozone returned to positive GDP growth in the third quarter, as the below chart courtesy... of JP Morgan shows: Eurozone GDP rose by 0.4 per cent in quarter-on-quarter, after five consecutive quarters of declines. Economists had expected ... (more) Eurozone turns a GDP corner
European recession ends with a whimper
ft.com — By Ralph Atkins in Frankfurt and Ben Hall in Paris Published: November 13 2009 08:34 | Last... updated: November 13 2009 18:26 The eurozone emerged from recession in the third quarter of this year, but the speed of its escape fell short of expectations – ... (more) European recession ends with a whimper
The Next Stimulus Package
calculatedriskblog.com — Earlier this week I mentioned a possible " upside surprise " for GDP in 2010: With unemployment... above 10%, there will be significant political pressure for another stimulus package - especially if the economy starts to slow in the first half of 2010. ... (more) The Next Stimulus Package
Politico Does Economic Analysis...
Politico Does Economic Analysis...
econbrowser.com — Be afraid; be very afraid. From "'Created or saved' doesn't add up" , by Joseph Lawler: ...[t]he... "created or saved" numbers are meaningless. The administration purposefully devised the metric to be nebulous. Without a counterfactual, showing ... (more) Politico Does Economic Analysis...
Entitlement Spending and the Long-Term Budget Outlook
cboblog.cbo.gov — Last week I gave a talk at the annual fall research conference of the Association for Public... Policy Analysis and Management. The session was titled “Aging and Health: The Challenges of Entitlement Growth,” and my slides drew on our August report The ... (more) Entitlement Spending and the Long-Term Budget Outlook
Will rising oil prices derail the recovery?
Will rising oil prices derail the recovery?
econbrowser.com — Last April I described new research on the role of oil prices in the recent recession. Here's... an update on what's happened since then. In a paper presented at the Brookings Institution last spring , I examined the post-sample forecasting ... (more) Will rising oil prices derail the recovery?
Fed's Fisher: Suboptimal Growth in 2010, "Perhaps" 2011
calculatedriskblog.com — "[L]ooking into 2010 and perhaps to 2011, the most likely outcome is for growth to be suboptimal,... unemployment to remain a vexing problem and inflation to remain subdued." Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher And a little more Fed Speak ... (note: ... (more) Fed's Fisher: Suboptimal Growth in 2010, "Perhaps" 2011
World oil demand to grow 700,000 bpd in 2010
in.reuters.com — DOHA (Reuters) - Global oil demand will grow 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2010, OPEC's Secretary-General... Abdullah al-Badri said in a speech delivered on his behalf on Tuesday. China and India will lead global economic growth next year, with the ... (more) World oil demand to grow 700,000 bpd in 2010
"Where's the Consumption Disaster?"
"Where's the Consumption Disaster?"
econbrowser.com — Casey Mulligan asks: So a year later, in September 2009, after living through a year of "disaster,"... how did real consumption expenditure (one economists' favorite measures of living standards) compare to what it was in September 2008? He ... (more) "Where's the Consumption Disaster?"
Reagan mythbusting, productivity edition
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com — No, productivity growth didn't accelerate. (more) Reagan mythbusting, productivity edition
The "Paradox of Deleveraging"
The "Paradox of Deleveraging"
econompicdata.blogspot.com — CNN Money with the details of Friday's continued decline in consumer credit outstanding: Consumer credit fell in... September for the eighth straight month, the longest streak of declines since the Federal Reserve started keeping records in 1943. Total ... (more) The "Paradox of Deleveraging"
Alternative Money As A Macro Stabilizer, The Swiss Case
econospeak.blogspot.com — Old monetarists used to praise monetary policy in Switzerland and its macro stability, a stability seen recently... with only a small decline in GDP and a 4.1% unemployment rate, despite the international crisis nearly bringing down UBS, its largest ... (more) Alternative Money As A Macro Stabilizer, The Swiss Case
Consumer credit down, but does it show deleveraging?
hf-implode.com — " I have just taken a look at the consumer credit figures for September, released just yesterday... by the Federal Reserve. The data do show some modest deleveraging, especially when looking at the recent increase in nominal GDP. However, it is still not clear to me that the scale of deleveraging ... (more) Consumer credit down, but does it show deleveraging?
Consumer credit down, but does it show deleveraging?
creditwritedowns.com — I have just taken a look at the consumer credit figures for September, released just yesterday by... the Federal Reserve. The data do show some modest deleveraging, especially when looking at the recent increase in nominal GDP. However, it is still not ... (more) Consumer credit down, but does it show deleveraging?
Reagan! Reagan! Reagan!
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com — There's no measure I can think of by which the U.S. economy has done better since 1980... than it did over an equivalent time span before 1980. (more) Reagan! Reagan! Reagan!
Nominally misguided (wonkish)
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com — When you're in a liquidity trap, focusing on nominal magnitudes doesn't clarify matters; it obscures them.... (more) Nominally misguided (wonkish)
Some Thoughts Elicited by Reading Some Calibration Papers
Some Thoughts Elicited by Reading Some Calibration Papers
econbrowser.com — (Warning: Might be considered "wonky" by some) In many economic analyses, one wants to isolate the "business... cycle" component of macroeconomic series. Here is one such series, which has had a detrending technique applied to it. Try to guess what it ... (more) Some Thoughts Elicited by Reading Some Calibration Papers
Definitive Guide to BRIC ETFs: BRIC ETF Investing 101
Definitive Guide to BRIC ETFs: BRIC ETF Investing 101
etfdb.com — Brazil, Russia, India, and China, collectively known as the “BRIC” economies. Together, these four countries currently comprise... 40% of the world’s population and 15% of GDP, ensuring that they will be a force to be reckoned with on the global stage for years to come. (more) Definitive Guide to BRIC ETFs: BRIC ETF Investing 101
Global Nominal Spending History
Global Nominal Spending History
macromarketmusings.blogspot.com — As someone who believes that stabilizing nominal spending rather than inflation is key to macroeconomic stability, I... have taken the liberty in the past to reframe U.S. macroeconomic history according to this perspective. Thus, I renamed (1) the " ... (more) Global Nominal Spending History