Submit a Story!

NBER RSS

Add as Favorite
Select time frame: Now | Week | Month
Jeremy Piger's US Recession Probabilities
Jeremy Piger's US Recession Probabilities
economistsview.typepad.com — Using data released Friday morning, Jeremy Piger updated his estimates of U.S. recession probabilities through August of... 2009. The results now suggest that the probability of recession was below 50% for both July and August. He notes that:  ... (more) Jeremy Piger's US Recession Probabilities
Is The NBER Gearing Up For a Big Announcement?
Is The NBER Gearing Up For a Big Announcement?
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — The NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research) is the organization in charge of dating recessions and expansions... in the US economy, so when the official announcement is made that the most recent recession is officially over, it will come from the ... (more) Is The NBER Gearing Up For a Big Announcement?

NBER Latest Blog Posts

Weekend Reading
links for 2009-11-03
economistsview.typepad.com — NY Times Leonhardt: The Optimistic View - Calculated Risk Looking Past a Cloud of Pessimism as a... Recession Ends - NYTimes.com Has there really been a housing boom? - ... (more) links for 2009-11-03
Some Thoughts Elicited by Reading Some Calibration Papers
Some Thoughts Elicited by Reading Some Calibration Papers
econbrowser.com — (Warning: Might be considered "wonky" by some) In many economic analyses, one wants to isolate the "business... cycle" component of macroeconomic series. Here is one such series, which has had a detrending technique applied to it. Try to guess what it ... (more) Some Thoughts Elicited by Reading Some Calibration Papers
"Where's the Consumption Disaster?"
"Where's the Consumption Disaster?"
econbrowser.com — Casey Mulligan asks: So a year later, in September 2009, after living through a year of "disaster,"... how did real consumption expenditure (one economists' favorite measures of living standards) compare to what it was in September 2008? He ... (more) "Where's the Consumption Disaster?"
Can You Find “Superior Information” About Markets?
ritholtz.com — Yesterday , we discussed the NYU paper on how Market Timing beat Buy & Hold over the... past few decades. The WSJ reviews this idea today; They make some subtle distinctions about the idea of timing: “A study from New York ... (more) Can You Find “Superior Information” About Markets?