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Jobs Report Friday (Friday – December 4, 2009)
Jobs Report Friday (Friday – December 4, 2009)
tradingtheodds.com — I’m a bit busy these days with some private and business matters, so blogging (and Twitter updates)... were (and will probably remain for a couple of days and weeks) light. I am sorry for any inconvenience. On today’s Friday we’ll get the government’s November jobs report at ... (more) Jobs Report Friday (Friday – December 4, 2009)
Key Reversal Bar With Volume
Key Reversal Bar With Volume
portfoliotilt.com — The S&P 500 picked up a high volume key reversal bar as prices on Thursday traded above... Wednesday's high, and subsequently closed below Wednesday's low. The index also notched a distribution day as volume spiked over the levels from the prior session, the NASDAQ however, declined on ... (more) Key Reversal Bar With Volume

S&P 500 Latest Blog Posts

S&P 500 - Low Volatility Set Up 5 December
8 hours ago at Short-Term Trading
Why Is No One Buying UGA?
indexuniverse.com — Commodity ETF investors have managed to miss all the major bull markets of 2009. Where’s the love... for the lead, copper and gasoline ETPs? That thought occurred to me as I read through the recently released November S&P GSCI commodity report. It’s by ... (more) Why Is No One Buying UGA?
Equities Reverse After Attempted Breakout
Equities Reverse After Attempted Breakout
portfoliotilt.com — It looked as if the S&P 500 was ready to decisively breakout from the 25 point trading... range as prices spiked above 1115. However, the gains were short lived as prices ultimately reversed and closed back within the prior trading range. After hours, Bank of America announced their plan to ... (more) Equities Reverse After Attempted Breakout
Dow Hits 10,500 as December Kicks Off
Dow Hits 10,500 as December Kicks Off
portfoliotilt.com — Equities kicked off the month with moderate gains, the S&P 500 rose 1.2% on Tuesday as volume... ticked higher from the levels seen in the prior session. Agriculture stocks did well today, with industry leaders such as POT and MOS nearing key breakout points. (more) Dow Hits 10,500 as December Kicks Off
S&P Still Looking At First-Ever Losing Decade
markettalk.newswires-americas.com — November was pretty good for the S&P 500, which rose 5.7%, and the index is off to... a sharp start this morning, up more than 1%. But the index has only 23 trading left to avoid posting its first losing decade ever, and it’ll need a monster ... (more) S&P Still Looking At First-Ever Losing Decade
General Announcements and Mondays Update
General Announcements and Mondays Update
portfoliotilt.com — The trading week started on a high note as the S&P 500 gained about .8% for the... session. Volume came in above recent average levels as the large cap. index recaptured its 20 day EMA. (more) General Announcements and Mondays Update
Recap of Fridays Early Close Session
Recap of Fridays Early Close Session
portfoliotilt.com — Equity markets declined on Friday as investors were given their first opportunity to digest the bearish news... out of Dubai. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ lost about 1.7% during Friday's shortened session. (more) Recap of Fridays Early Close Session
Where are the Financials?
Where are the Financials?
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — Probably the main reason why the S&P; 500 has struggled to take out old highs in recent... weeks is the performance of the Financial sector. It's actually surprising that the market is where it is given how poorly the Financials have done. As shown in ... (more) Where are the Financials?
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 30, 2009
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 30, 2009
tradingtheodds.com — On Thursday’s session European indices (and futures on US major market indices) tanked on Dubai news (the... ES E-MINI S&P 500 was temporarily down -3.75% ), but although US major market indices closed sharply lower on Friday’s half trading day, the ES E-MINI S&P 500 was ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 30, 2009
TRADING THE ODDS on Tuesday – November 24, 2009
TRADING THE ODDS on Tuesday – November 24, 2009
tradingtheodds.com — On Monday’s session we couldn’t have asked for more: With Monday’s intraday low +0.78% above Friday’s intraday... high, the ES E-MINI S&P 500 left the (expected) unfilled (opening) gap up and closed on a strong note +1.01% above Friday’s high, but posted ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Tuesday – November 24, 2009
S&P 500 Index Is Still Overvalued
dailymarkets.com — Stocks have been in the overvalued end of the normal P/E range since the early-1990s, and this... condition shows no sign of abating. Below is an excerpt from our daily earnings summary that will offer readers a better perspective. I have outlined the ... (more) S&P 500 Index Is Still Overvalued
Thanksgiving and Stock Market’s Performance
Thanksgiving and Stock Market’s Performance
tradingtheodds.com — This is a follow-up to my post TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 23, 2009 .... Thanksgiving (exchange holiday, with a shortened session on Friday, November 26) is celebrated on the fourth Thursday in November, this year on November 26. I thought it would be interesting to check if ... (more) Thanksgiving and Stock Market’s Performance
Two Month Consolidation, Fridays Analysis
Two Month Consolidation, Fridays Analysis
portfoliotilt.com — With each passing session, it becomes increasingly more obvious that this market is still consolidating after the... lengthy intermediate uptrend beginning in early July. Trading activity has continued to decline as prices have traded sideways, a characteristic of healthy continuation patterns.  ... (more) Two Month Consolidation, Fridays Analysis
Breadth Remains Weak
Breadth Remains Weak
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — In the S&P; 500, 60% of stocks are trading above their 50-day moving averages. As shown in... the first chart below, this indicator has made a series of lower highs in recent months, even as the S&P; 500 has made subsequent new highs over this time ... (more) Breadth Remains Weak
5%+ Dividend Yields in the S&P 500
5%+ Dividend Yields in the S&P 500
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — For all the dividend hunters out there, below we provide a list of the S&P; 500 stocks... with dividend yields above 5%. As shown, Frontier Communications (FTR) tops the list with a yield of 13.33%. Windstream (WIN) has the second highest yield at 9.95%, ... (more) 5%+ Dividend Yields in the S&P 500
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 23, 2009
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 23, 2009
tradingtheodds.com — Although the ES E-MINI S&P 500 did not comply to the positive outlook (concerning the close) based... on those setups which were triggered on Thursday’s close (market internals like Calls and Puts traded on an uptick/downtick, and the percentage of stocks penetrating their previous ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 23, 2009
It Was The Best of Markets, It Was The Worst of Markets
It Was The Best of Markets, It Was The Worst of Markets
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — It used to be that if you asked someone how the market was doing, their answer would... depend on how it had acted over the last few weeks or months. Nowadays, though, your answer will more likely be a reflection of the last day or even hours. Over the ... (more) It Was The Best of Markets, It Was The Worst of Markets
Stocks Are Overvalued
Stocks Are Overvalued
businessinsider.com — Stocks have jumped 65% from the March lows. They have also blasted past fair value, which is... about 900 on the S&P 500 on a cyclically-adjusted price-earnings ratio (see professor Robert Shiller's chart below). So, unless it's different this time, ... (more) Stocks Are Overvalued
Barclays Capital ETN+ Notes: Cool … Or Just Crazy?
Barclays Capital ETN+ Notes: Cool … Or Just Crazy?
indexuniverse.com — These new ETNs could potentially be a better mousetrap. But are they too complicated?... (more) Barclays Capital ETN+ Notes: Cool … Or Just Crazy?
Distribution Day 11-19-04
Distribution Day 11-19-04
portfoliotilt.com — The S&P/NASDAQ picked up distribution days on Thursday as volume swelled across the general market indices. The... S&P 500 has earned two distribution days over the recent period, and we have three D-days on the NASDAQ. (more) Distribution Day 11-19-04
Analysis of Tuesdays Session 11-17-09
Analysis of Tuesdays Session 11-17-09
portfoliotilt.com — Equities closed higher on very light volume during Tuesday's session. Even with gains in the equity markets,... the Dollar also closed higher by about .5% for the day and gold flirted with a new high, reaching $1145/ounce. (more) Analysis of Tuesdays Session 11-17-09
Buffett, Soros Both Bought Wal-Mart in the Second Quarter
blogs.wsj.com — Wal-Mart shares seem to have finally found some love. What with unemployment at 10.2% and projected to... be elevated for the foreseeable future, it would seem logical to be long the giant discount retailer. But through much of the run-up since the March ... (more) Buffett, Soros Both Bought Wal-Mart in the Second Quarter
November 17, 2009 - The Distress Index and Stock Returns
cxoadvisory.com — Evidence from simple tests indicates that the Distress Index is of no use to investors for predicting... stock market behavior. (more) November 17, 2009 - The Distress Index and Stock Returns
Week Starts on a High Note: Big Picture Remains Unclear 11-16-09
Week Starts on a High Note: Big Picture Remains Unclear 11-16-09
feedproxy.google.com — The equity markets began the week with strong gains, closing higher by about 1.4% during Monday's session.... However, this rally appears far from healthy and although prices continue to rise, I will remain on the sidelines until we have a definitive resumption of a new intermediate trend. ... (more) Week Starts on a High Note: Big Picture Remains Unclear ...
YTD Sector Performance
YTD Sector Performance
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — One would think that in a year where the average stock in the S&P; 500 is outperforming... the index by a wide margin (40.3% vs 22.9%), that most sectors would also be outperforming the overall index. Yet with the S&P; 500 trading to a new high for the ... (more) YTD Sector Performance
Charts for Friday 11-13-09
Charts for Friday 11-13-09
portfoliotilt.com — I hope all of you enjoyed the weekend. Here are the usual round of charts for last... Friday's session including a brief look at the Dow Transports/Dow Jones Industrial Average relationship, and the VIX. (more) Charts for Friday 11-13-09
Five market sectors for the next six months
marketwatch.com — Alert Email Print By Jonathan Burton , MarketWatch SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Any investor who followed the... old market adage to "Sell in May and go away" is probably feeling left behind, with the benchmark Standard & Poor's 500-stock index up 25% ... (more) Five market sectors for the next six months
What's In Store?
What's In Store?
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — The S&P; 500 rose 2.80% during this earnings season, which ranks 11th for all earnings seasons since... 2001. Below we highlight the S&P; 500's performance during all earnings seasons since 2001 along with the index's performance during the following ... (more) What's In Store?
Breadth Not Yet Confirming New Highs
Breadth Not Yet Confirming New Highs
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — As we noted on Tuesday, breadth as measured by the cumulative advance/decline line has not yet confirmed... the market's recent rally to new highs. The same holds true for another breadth indicator that tracks the percentage of stocks trading above their ... (more) Breadth Not Yet Confirming New Highs
Midcaps Lead the Way in 2009
Midcaps Lead the Way in 2009
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — As shown below, the S&P; Midcap 400 has outperformed its large and smallcap brethren so far in... 2009. The Smallcap 600 has been the worst performer with a gain of 15.4%, but it was down the most during the declines in the first quarter, so it has had ... (more) Midcaps Lead the Way in 2009
Sector Relative Strength: Technology & Financials
Sector Relative Strength: Technology & Financials
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — The charts below show the relative strength of the Financial and Technology sectors versus the S&P; 500.... In each chart, a rising line indicates that the sector is outperforming the S&P; 500 while a declining line indicates underperformance. We have ... (more) Sector Relative Strength: Technology & Financials
S&P 500 Breadth Checkup
S&P 500 Breadth Checkup
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — Although the S&P; 500 is within 1% of its closing high, breadth in this recent rally has... been lagging. As of today, the Cumulative A/D line for the S&P; 500 since September 2008 is at 778, which is 571 below the highs from October. Given the fact that ... (more) S&P 500 Breadth Checkup
Q3 Earnings Growth and Q4 Estimates
Q3 Earnings Growth and Q4 Estimates
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — The estimates for the year-over-year change in Q3 earnings at the start of earnings season were -23.2%... for the S&P; 500. Currently, the actual number sits at -17.2% for the S&P; 500 with less than 20% of the index left to report. As shown below, the ... (more) Q3 Earnings Growth and Q4 Estimates
International Revenues Making An Impact
International Revenues Making An Impact
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — When the dollar is in decline, companies that generate the bulk of their revenues overseas benefit as... the weak dollar attracts purchases of US-made products by foreign companies and consumers. The most recent stock market rally/dollar decline this ... (more) International Revenues Making An Impact
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 16, 2009
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 16, 2009
tradingtheodds.com — On Friday’s session the ES E-MINI S&P 500 managed a small gain on the close, but did... never seriously challenge Thursday’s intraday high. But there was some remarkable weakness beneath the surface: Despite the fact that almost all US major market indices (S&P 500, ES ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 16, 2009
Kass: Market Ignorance Is Bliss
thestreet.com — This blog post originally appeared on RealMoney Silver on Nov. 12 at 8:15 a.m. EST. The message... of the markets over the past few weeks is that, with increased certainty, investors are growing more comfortable with the forecast of a smooth and ... (more) Kass: Market Ignorance Is Bliss
November 12, 2009 Stock Market Recap
November 12, 2009 Stock Market Recap
tradermike.net — We had a little pullback today on mixed volume. The S&P; 500's volume remained about the same... as the past couple of sessions but volume increased on the Nasdaq, Russell 2000 and Dow. So I still have the same concerns about a lack of upside volume ... (more) November 12, 2009 Stock Market Recap
Stocks Have Little Room To The Upside
tradersnarrative.com — A while back I presented a historical study which looked at the behaviour of the S&P 500... relative to its long term trend line: what happens this far above the 200 day moving average? If you haven’t yet, go check it our for full details because what ... (more) Stocks Have Little Room To The Upside
The Rhino Stock Report | The Investment Newsletter that Made 15% in 2008
rhinostocks.com — ABOUT THE RHINO STOCK REPORT: While the middle of a recession might seem like a risky time... to launch an investment newsletter, the fact of the matter is that there are more bargain stocks on the market right now than ever before. The Rhino Stock ... (more) The Rhino Stock Report | The Investment ...
TRADING THE ODDS on Thursday – November 12, 2009
TRADING THE ODDS on Thursday – November 12, 2009
tradingtheodds.com — A short note : Due to some private and business matters, from now on I’ll probably not... be able to keep on publishing a post on a daily basis (at least not within one or two hours after the close, Twitter updates remain unaffected). _________________________ On Wednesday’s ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Thursday – November 12, 2009
2009 Country Stock Market Performance
2009 Country Stock Market Performance
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — Below we highlight the year-to-date percentage change (local currency) for the major equity indices of 82 countries.... So far this year, 71 of the 82 countries are in positive territory, and the average change of all countries is 33.27%. With a gain of ... (more) 2009 Country Stock Market Performance
November 9, 2009 Stock Market Recap
November 9, 2009 Stock Market Recap
tradermike.net — So it's broken record time for me. You know I have to complain about the lack of... volume over these last few sessions. Sure, the price action has been great but I just can't shake the feeling that I shouldn't trust this rally due to the relatively ... (more) November 9, 2009 Stock Market Recap
Recap of Mondays Session 11-09-09
Recap of Mondays Session 11-09-09
portfoliotilt.com — The general markets experienced broad gains on Monday as equities rallied about 2% for the session. The... Dow is leading the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, hitting a new 52-week ahead of these two benchmark indices. (more) Recap of Mondays Session 11-09-09
Stock Market Returns Lost in Translation
Stock Market Returns Lost in Translation
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — One of the side effects of a weaker dollar is that the returns for foreign investors who... invest in US assets are diminished. While the value of the asset may rise in dollar terms, if the dollar is losing value the investor takes a hit when they ... (more) Stock Market Returns Lost in Translation
Unemployment Above 10%
Unemployment Above 10%
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — The unemployment rate hit 10.2% today, topping the 10% mark for the first time since June 1983.... Economists are generally expecting the rate to go higher before it goes lower. Back in September 1982 when the unemployment rate moved above 10% for the ... (more) Unemployment Above 10%
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009 (Follow-Up)
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009 (Follow-Up)
tradingtheodds.com — A couple of minutes ago I noticed that there was another setup triggered on Friday’s close, in... particular confirming the negative outlook with respect to the first part of Monday’s session (see my posting TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009 ). On Friday the ES ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009 (Follow-Up)
S&P 500 Priced in Gold
S&P 500 Priced in Gold
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — With equities correcting over the last few weeks and gold rallying to record highs, the price of... gold has once again exceeded the price of the S&P; 500. It now takes 0.96 ounces of gold to buy the S&P; 500. This is considerably less than the long-term ... (more) S&P 500 Priced in Gold
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009
tradingtheodds.com — Friday marked the second consecutive session where the ES E-MINI S&P 500 showed the expected weakness already... during the GLOBEX session (posting a pre-opening low of at least -0.75% ), but recouped all of it’s pre-opening and/or intraday losses and managed a gain on the close. ... (more) TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009
Best and Worst Performing S&P 500 Stocks Since Obama's Election Win
Best and Worst Performing S&P 500 Stocks Since Obama's Election Win
bespokeinvest.typepad.com — Interestingly, Ford Motor (F) has been the best performing S&P; 500 stock since the 2008 election. With... all the troubles that the US auto industry has gone through over the past year, Ford has made it out alive and now appears to be getting stronger. ... (more) Best and Worst Performing S&P 500 Stocks Since Obama's ...
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