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tradingtheodds.com - 38 hours ago
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tradingtheodds.com —
I’m a bit busy these days with some
private and business matters, so blogging (and Twitter updates)...
were (and will probably remain for a couple of days and weeks) light. I am sorry for any inconvenience. On today’s Friday we’ll get the government’s November jobs report at ...
(more)
Jobs Report Friday (Friday – December 4, 2009)
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fhogelucht
posted 38 hours agoposted this
portfoliotilt.com - 2 days ago
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portfoliotilt.com —
The S&P 500 picked up a high volume
key reversal bar as prices on Thursday traded above...
Wednesday's high, and subsequently closed below Wednesday's low. The index also notched a distribution day as volume spiked over the levels from the prior session, the NASDAQ however, declined on ...
(more)
Key Reversal Bar With Volume
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S&P 500 Latest Blog Posts
S&P 500 - Low Volatility Set Up 5 December
8 hours ago at Short-Term Trading
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indexuniverse.com - 2 days ago
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indexuniverse.com —
Commodity ETF investors have managed to miss all
the major bull markets of 2009. Where’s the love...
for the lead, copper and gasoline ETPs? That thought occurred to me as I read through the recently released November S&P GSCI commodity report. It’s by ...
(more)
Why Is No One Buying UGA?
portfoliotilt.com - 2 days ago
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portfoliotilt.com —
It looked as if the S&P 500 was
ready to decisively breakout from the 25 point trading...
range as prices spiked above 1115. However, the gains were short lived as prices ultimately reversed and closed back within the prior trading range. After hours, Bank of America announced their plan to ...
(more)
Equities Reverse After Attempted Breakout
portfoliotilt.com - 3 days ago
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portfoliotilt.com —
Equities kicked off the month with moderate gains,
the S&P 500 rose 1.2% on Tuesday as volume...
ticked higher from the levels seen in the prior session. Agriculture stocks did well today, with industry leaders such as POT and MOS nearing key breakout points.
(more)
Dow Hits 10,500 as December Kicks Off
markettalk.newswires-americas.com - 4 days ago
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markettalk.newswires-americas.com —
November was pretty good for the S&P 500,
which rose 5.7%, and the index is off to...
a sharp start this morning, up more than 1%. But the index has only 23 trading left to avoid posting its first losing decade ever, and it’ll need a monster ...
(more)
S&P Still Looking At First-Ever Losing Decade
portfoliotilt.com - 4 days ago
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portfoliotilt.com —
The trading week started on a high note
as the S&P 500 gained about .8% for the...
session. Volume came in above recent average levels as the large cap. index recaptured its 20 day EMA.
(more)
General Announcements and Mondays Update
portfoliotilt.com - 5 days ago
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portfoliotilt.com —
Equity markets declined on Friday as investors were
given their first opportunity to digest the bearish news...
out of Dubai. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ lost about 1.7% during Friday's shortened session.
(more)
Recap of Fridays Early Close Session
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 6 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
Probably the main reason why the S&P; 500
has struggled to take out old highs in recent...
weeks is the performance of the Financial sector. It's actually surprising that the market is where it is given how poorly the Financials have done. As shown in ...
(more)
Where are the Financials?
tradingtheodds.com - 7 days ago
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tradingtheodds.com —
On Thursday’s session European indices (and futures on
US major market indices) tanked on Dubai news (the...
ES E-MINI S&P 500 was temporarily down -3.75% ), but although US major market indices closed sharply lower on Friday’s half trading day, the ES E-MINI S&P 500 was ...
(more)
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 30, 2009
tradingtheodds.com - 12 days ago
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tradingtheodds.com —
On Monday’s session we couldn’t have asked for
more: With Monday’s intraday low +0.78% above Friday’s intraday...
high, the ES E-MINI S&P 500 left the (expected) unfilled (opening) gap up and closed on a strong note +1.01% above Friday’s high, but posted ...
(more)
TRADING THE ODDS on Tuesday – November 24, 2009
dailymarkets.com - 12 days ago
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dailymarkets.com —
Stocks have been in the overvalued end of
the normal P/E range since the early-1990s, and this...
condition shows no sign of abating. Below is an excerpt from our daily earnings summary that will offer readers a better perspective. I have outlined the ...
(more)
S&P 500 Index Is Still Overvalued
tradingtheodds.com - 12 days ago
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tradingtheodds.com —
This is a follow-up to my post TRADING
THE ODDS on Monday – November 23, 2009 ....
Thanksgiving (exchange holiday, with a shortened session on Friday, November 26) is celebrated on the fourth Thursday in November, this year on November 26. I thought it would be interesting to check if ...
(more)
Thanksgiving and Stock Market’s Performance
portfoliotilt.com - 12 days ago
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portfoliotilt.com —
With each passing session, it becomes increasingly more
obvious that this market is still consolidating after the...
lengthy intermediate uptrend beginning in early July. Trading activity has continued to decline as prices have traded sideways, a characteristic of healthy continuation patterns. ...
(more)
Two Month Consolidation, Fridays Analysis
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 13 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
In the S&P; 500, 60% of stocks are
trading above their 50-day moving averages. As shown in...
the first chart below, this indicator has made a series of lower highs in recent months, even as the S&P; 500 has made subsequent new highs over this time ...
(more)
Breadth Remains Weak
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 13 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
For all the dividend hunters out there, below
we provide a list of the S&P; 500 stocks...
with dividend yields above 5%. As shown, Frontier Communications (FTR) tops the list with a yield of 13.33%. Windstream (WIN) has the second highest yield at 9.95%, ...
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5%+ Dividend Yields in the S&P 500
tradingtheodds.com - 14 days ago
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tradingtheodds.com —
Although the ES E-MINI S&P 500 did not
comply to the positive outlook (concerning the close) based...
on those setups which were triggered on Thursday’s close (market internals like Calls and Puts traded on an uptick/downtick, and the percentage of stocks penetrating their previous ...
(more)
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 23, 2009
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 15 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
It used to be that if you asked
someone how the market was doing, their answer would...
depend on how it had acted over the last few weeks or months. Nowadays, though, your answer will more likely be a reflection of the last day or even hours. Over the ...
(more)
It Was The Best of Markets, It Was The Worst of Markets
businessinsider.com - 15 days ago
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businessinsider.com —
Stocks have jumped 65% from the March lows.
They have also blasted past fair value, which is...
about 900 on the S&P 500 on a cyclically-adjusted price-earnings ratio (see professor Robert Shiller's chart below). So, unless it's different this time, ...
(more)
Stocks Are Overvalued
indexuniverse.com - 15 days ago
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indexuniverse.com —
These new ETNs could potentially be a better
mousetrap. But are they too complicated?...
(more)
Barclays Capital ETN+ Notes: Cool … Or Just Crazy?
portfoliotilt.com - 15 days ago
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portfoliotilt.com —
The S&P/NASDAQ picked up distribution days on Thursday
as volume swelled across the general market indices. The...
S&P 500 has earned two distribution days over the recent period, and we have three D-days on the NASDAQ.
(more)
Distribution Day 11-19-04
portfoliotilt.com - 17 days ago
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portfoliotilt.com —
Equities closed higher on very light volume during
Tuesday's session. Even with gains in the equity markets,...
the Dollar also closed higher by about .5% for the day and gold flirted with a new high, reaching $1145/ounce.
(more)
Analysis of Tuesdays Session 11-17-09
blogs.wsj.com - 18 days ago
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blogs.wsj.com —
Wal-Mart shares seem to have finally found some
love. What with unemployment at 10.2% and projected to...
be elevated for the foreseeable future, it would seem logical to be long the giant discount retailer. But through much of the run-up since the March ...
(more)
Buffett, Soros Both Bought Wal-Mart in the Second Quarter
cxoadvisory.com - 18 days ago
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cxoadvisory.com —
Evidence from simple tests indicates that the Distress
Index is of no use to investors for predicting...
stock market behavior.
(more)
November 17, 2009 - The Distress Index and Stock Returns
feedproxy.google.com - 18 days ago
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feedproxy.google.com —
The equity markets began the week with strong
gains, closing higher by about 1.4% during Monday's session....
However, this rally appears far from healthy and although prices continue to rise, I will remain on the sidelines until we have a definitive resumption of a new intermediate trend. ...
(more)
Week Starts on a High Note: Big Picture Remains Unclear ...
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 19 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
One would think that in a year where
the average stock in the S&P; 500 is outperforming...
the index by a wide margin (40.3% vs 22.9%), that most sectors would also be outperforming the overall index. Yet with the S&P; 500 trading to a new high for the ...
(more)
YTD Sector Performance
portfoliotilt.com - 19 days ago
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portfoliotilt.com —
I hope all of you enjoyed the weekend.
Here are the usual round of charts for last...
Friday's session including a brief look at the Dow Transports/Dow Jones Industrial Average relationship, and the VIX.
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Charts for Friday 11-13-09
marketwatch.com - 19 days ago
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marketwatch.com —
Alert Email Print By Jonathan Burton , MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Any investor who followed the...
old market adage to "Sell in May and go away" is probably feeling left behind, with the benchmark Standard & Poor's 500-stock index up 25% ...
(more)
Five market sectors for the next six months
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 20 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
The S&P; 500 rose 2.80% during this earnings
season, which ranks 11th for all earnings seasons since...
2001. Below we highlight the S&P; 500's performance during all earnings seasons since 2001 along with the index's performance during the following ...
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What's In Store?
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 20 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
As we noted on Tuesday, breadth as measured
by the cumulative advance/decline line has not yet confirmed...
the market's recent rally to new highs. The same holds true for another breadth indicator that tracks the percentage of stocks trading above their ...
(more)
Breadth Not Yet Confirming New Highs
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 20 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
As shown below, the S&P; Midcap 400 has
outperformed its large and smallcap brethren so far in...
2009. The Smallcap 600 has been the worst performer with a gain of 15.4%, but it was down the most during the declines in the first quarter, so it has had ...
(more)
Midcaps Lead the Way in 2009
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 20 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
The charts below show the relative strength of
the Financial and Technology sectors versus the S&P; 500....
In each chart, a rising line indicates that the sector is outperforming the S&P; 500 while a declining line indicates underperformance. We have ...
(more)
Sector Relative Strength: Technology & Financials
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 20 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
Although the S&P; 500 is within 1% of
its closing high, breadth in this recent rally has...
been lagging. As of today, the Cumulative A/D line for the S&P; 500 since September 2008 is at 778, which is 571 below the highs from October. Given the fact that ...
(more)
S&P 500 Breadth Checkup
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 20 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
The estimates for the year-over-year change in Q3
earnings at the start of earnings season were -23.2%...
for the S&P; 500. Currently, the actual number sits at -17.2% for the S&P; 500 with less than 20% of the index left to report. As shown below, the ...
(more)
Q3 Earnings Growth and Q4 Estimates
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 20 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
When the dollar is in decline, companies that
generate the bulk of their revenues overseas benefit as...
the weak dollar attracts purchases of US-made products by foreign companies and consumers. The most recent stock market rally/dollar decline this ...
(more)
International Revenues Making An Impact
tradingtheodds.com - 21 days ago
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tradingtheodds.com —
On Friday’s session the ES E-MINI S&P 500
managed a small gain on the close, but did...
never seriously challenge Thursday’s intraday high. But there was some remarkable weakness beneath the surface: Despite the fact that almost all US major market indices (S&P 500, ES ...
(more)
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 16, 2009
thestreet.com - 22 days ago
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thestreet.com —
This blog post originally appeared on RealMoney Silver
on Nov. 12 at 8:15 a.m. EST. The message...
of the markets over the past few weeks is that, with increased certainty, investors are growing more comfortable with the forecast of a smooth and ...
(more)
Kass: Market Ignorance Is Bliss
tradermike.net - 22 days ago
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tradermike.net —
We had a little pullback today on mixed
volume. The S&P; 500's volume remained about the same...
as the past couple of sessions but volume increased on the Nasdaq, Russell 2000 and Dow. So I still have the same concerns about a lack of upside volume ...
(more)
November 12, 2009 Stock Market Recap
tradersnarrative.com - 22 days ago
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tradersnarrative.com —
A while back I presented a historical study
which looked at the behaviour of the S&P 500...
relative to its long term trend line: what happens this far above the 200 day moving average? If you haven’t yet, go check it our for full details because what ...
(more)
Stocks Have Little Room To The Upside
rhinostocks.com - 23 days ago
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rhinostocks.com —
ABOUT THE RHINO STOCK REPORT: While the middle
of a recession might seem like a risky time...
to launch an investment newsletter, the fact of the matter is that there are more bargain stocks on the market right now than ever before. The Rhino Stock ...
(more)
The Rhino Stock Report | The Investment ...
tradingtheodds.com - 24 days ago
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tradingtheodds.com —
A short note : Due to some private
and business matters, from now on I’ll probably not...
be able to keep on publishing a post on a daily basis (at least not within one or two hours after the close, Twitter updates remain unaffected). _________________________ On Wednesday’s ...
(more)
TRADING THE ODDS on Thursday – November 12, 2009
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 24 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
Below we highlight the year-to-date percentage change (local
currency) for the major equity indices of 82 countries....
So far this year, 71 of the 82 countries are in positive territory, and the average change of all countries is 33.27%. With a gain of ...
(more)
2009 Country Stock Market Performance
tradermike.net - 24 days ago
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tradermike.net —
So it's broken record time for me. You
know I have to complain about the lack of...
volume over these last few sessions. Sure, the price action has been great but I just can't shake the feeling that I shouldn't trust this rally due to the relatively ...
(more)
November 9, 2009 Stock Market Recap
portfoliotilt.com - 25 days ago
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portfoliotilt.com —
The general markets experienced broad gains on Monday
as equities rallied about 2% for the session. The...
Dow is leading the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, hitting a new 52-week ahead of these two benchmark indices.
(more)
Recap of Mondays Session 11-09-09
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 26 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
One of the side effects of a weaker
dollar is that the returns for foreign investors who...
invest in US assets are diminished. While the value of the asset may rise in dollar terms, if the dollar is losing value the investor takes a hit when they ...
(more)
Stock Market Returns Lost in Translation
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 26 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
The unemployment rate hit 10.2% today, topping the
10% mark for the first time since June 1983....
Economists are generally expecting the rate to go higher before it goes lower. Back in September 1982 when the unemployment rate moved above 10% for the ...
(more)
Unemployment Above 10%
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Technically Speaking, Market Analysis and Theory
found this 26 days agofound this
tradingtheodds.com - 27 days ago
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tradingtheodds.com —
A couple of minutes ago I noticed that
there was another setup triggered on Friday’s close, in...
particular confirming the negative outlook with respect to the first part of Monday’s session (see my posting TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009 ). On Friday the ES ...
(more)
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009 (Follow-Up)
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 27 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
With equities correcting over the last few weeks
and gold rallying to record highs, the price of...
gold has once again exceeded the price of the S&P; 500. It now takes 0.96 ounces of gold to buy the S&P; 500. This is considerably less than the long-term ...
(more)
S&P 500 Priced in Gold
tradingtheodds.com - 28 days ago
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tradingtheodds.com —
Friday marked the second consecutive session where the
ES E-MINI S&P 500 showed the expected weakness already...
during the GLOBEX session (posting a pre-opening low of at least -0.75% ), but recouped all of it’s pre-opening and/or intraday losses and managed a gain on the close. ...
(more)
TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 2009
bespokeinvest.typepad.com - 28 days ago
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bespokeinvest.typepad.com —
Interestingly, Ford Motor (F) has been the best
performing S&P; 500 stock since the 2008 election. With...
all the troubles that the US auto industry has gone through over the past year, Ford has made it out alive and now appears to be getting stronger. ...
(more)
Best and Worst Performing S&P 500 Stocks Since Obama's ...








































