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About that GDP Number
bonddad.blogspot.com - 2/2/2009
About that GDP Number
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From the BEA: The decrease in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected negative contributions from exports, personal consumption expenditures, equipment and software, and residential fixed investment that were partly offset by positive contributions from private inventory investment ...
The paradox of thrift
econbrowser.com - 2/8/2009
The paradox of thrift
— econbrowser.com — Or, how come you used to say that if consumers don't save more, it will wreck the... economy, and now you say, if consumers do save more, it will wreck the economy? For the record, I am certainly among those who had been suggesting that America's low ... (more) The paradox of thrift

Comments vote down EconLog: Library of Economics and Liberty found this 2/8/2009found this
Looking for the Sun
calculatedriskblog.com - 2/4/2009
Looking for the Sun
— calculatedriskblog.com — 2009 will be a grim economic year. The unemployment rate will rise all year, house prices will... fall, commercial real estate (CRE) will get crushed ... but there might be a few rays of sunshine too. Look at these three charts of Cliff Diving: Click ... (more) Looking for the Sun

Comments vote down Econbrowser found this 2/4/2009found this
Why Can't We All Just Get Along? The Great Multiplier Debate
econbrowser.com - 2/5/2009
Why Can't We All Just Get Along? The Great Multiplier Debate
— econbrowser.com — I've been thinking about why the numbers that are typically bandied about in policy circles (at least... that I'm familiar with) have so little impact on the overall general and blogosphere debate (see some examples here and here ). I think it's part ... (more) Why Can't We All Just Get Along? The Great Multiplier Debate

Comments vote down Economist's View found this 2/5/2009found this

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Daily Markets:  ETFs: Preparing For A Big Drop

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ETFs: Preparing For A Big Drop
Daily Markets — ... States Oil ETF ( USO ) is forming a base and a potential bottom, with heavy trading throughout January. A sharp move higher would likely create buying interest for oil services, could spill over into other commodity sectors, and also generate a short squeeze in heavily shorted sectors like financials, real estate, and homebuilders. On the other hand, a break to new lows would probably indicate that distribution is occurring on a broader basis. [image] Some reading: - Bonddad has an excellent overview of the GDP number. - Mr. Mortgage [image] ...

Related: gdp number
Q4 GDP Not as Bad As Expected
bespokeinvest.typepad.com 1/30/2009 — Today's advance reading on Q4 GDP showed that so far things have not been as bad as originally thought. While economists were expecting a decline of 5.5%, the actual number showed a more modest (and manageable) decline of 3.8%. Below we highlight the ...
GDP Goosed By TARP
ritholtz.com 2/2/2009 — Over the weekend, a hedgie friend added to our understanding of how bad GDP really was. We already knew that the rise in inventory contributed 1.29% points to GDP growth. Without the inventory build, the GDP number would have been down 5.1%.And, it ...
De-Fetishising The GDP — Daily Markets
There was a great editorial in yesterday’s Financial Times around De-fetishising the GDP From the Financial Times: It is a sobering time for number-crunchers. From quantitative risk analysis to credit ratings, many financial statistics have revealed more artistic licence than ...
GDP Was Behaved-I Guess — UpsideTrader
GDP came in at 3.8% against an estimate of 5.5% and a whisper number that was as high as 7% and futures have gone from down to about flat on the report. Bernie Marcus opined on CNBC this morning that...
PRE MARKETS — THE SHARK REPORT
Pre market futures have turned positive on the heels of a better than expected -3.8% GDP number v an expected -5.5% GDP. Gold moving on up again this morning as it now trades over $920 and how long before it is back at the $1k level? Dick Arms with some observations on the equity markets ...
Poll: Q4 U.S. GDP Estimate — Paul Kedrosky's Infectious Greed
One major piece of market-moving news Friday will likely be the U.S. Q4 2008 GDP estimate. Keeping in mind that –5.4% is the consensus, where do you think the Q4 GDP number will come in? Poll closes at 8:30am EST Friday. What will the U.S. Q4 GDP estimate be? ( polls )