econlog.econlib.org - 1/5/2009
—
(January 5, 2009 08:54 AM, by Arnold Kling) After reading Willem Buiter's long piece (pointer from Mark Thoma), I decided that it is time to come out firmly against a large fiscal stimulus. Instead, I would prefer a small stimulus. The case for a large stimulus appears to...
blogs.ft.com - 1/5/2009
—
blogs.ft.com —
Economic policy is based on a collection of
half-truths. The nature of these half-truths changes occasionally. Economics...
as a scholarly discipline consists in the periodic rediscovery and refinement of old half-truths. Little progress has been ...
(more)
Can the US economy afford a Keynesian stimulus?
becker-posner-blog.com - 1/12/2009
—
becker-posner-blog.com —
If the government increased its spending on infrastructure
when the economy has full employment, its main impact...
would likely be to draw labor, capital, and raw materials away from various other activities. In effect, increased government spending ...
(more)
On the Obama Stimulus Plan-Becker
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com - 1/6/2009
—
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com —
Bit by bit we're getting information on the
Obama stimulus plan, enough to start making back-of-the-envelope estimates...
of impact. The bottom line is this: we're probably looking at a plan that will shave less than 2 percentage points off the average ...
(more)
Stimulus arithmetic (wonkish but important)
Comments
Blog Reactions
Stimulus Contains 7 Risks
Club for Growth —
Economist Arnold Kling comes out firmly against the stimulus plan, offering seven potential risks. He concludes:
"Overall, on close examination, the case for the large fiscal stimulus, like the case for the Paulson rescue plan, is really quite weak. However, the same elite groupthink that made passage of the Paulson plan inevitable probably also makes the passage of the stimulus package inevitable."
Assorted links
Marginal Revolution —
1. The work habits of famous people.
2. MasterResource; a free market energy blog.
3. Arnold Kling is very wise; today on fiscal policy.
4. Saying words wrong on purpose.
Big Swinging Stimulus
self-evident —
... Arnold Kling (of the Cato Institute — god bless the libertarians) uses it as an opening to register his own opposition to the Big Stimulus: ...
Related Content
After the stimulus
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com 11/18/2008 — For the coming year, and probably well beyond, the economy will be on life support - sustained by massive fiscal stimulus. (Either that, or we'll be in a very deep slump.) But eventually the economy will have to come off life support. What will take ...
The Fiscal Stimulus: What Will Work?
forbes.com 1/9/2009 — Last year at this time, Congress and the White House were so concerned about an economic downturn that they agreed in record time to a $152 billion stimulus bill that sent $300 rebate checks to every taxpayer. The theory was that people would ...
What Does Fiscal Stimulus Mean?
moneyning.com 3/23/2009 — This is a guest post from Manshu, author of OneMint.com who started writing articles when he was majoring in finance.
With the economy reeling under a recession, the word that you read quite frequently is stimulus. But what is it? First, let’s explore a few terminologies: recession, GDP, ...
All stimulus, all the time
meganmcardle.theatlantic.com 2/3/2009 — Paul Krugman clarifies his point about temporary versus permanent spending: Tyler's latest on temporary versus permanent government consumption clarifies what the confusion is over my very simple point .
I don't think Tyler understands what I (and ...
So, Where Is That Stimulus Again?
valueplays.blogspot.com 4/29/2009 — Please read paraghraph 4. Can anyone tell me how this happened when we just passed over $1 trillion is "stimulus" packages? From the BEA GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: FIRST QUARTER 2009 (ADVANCE) Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property ...
Opinion: There's No Stimulus Free Lunch
online.wsj.com 2/10/2009 — GARY S. BECKER and KEVIN M. MURPHY How much will the stimulus package moving in Congress really stimulate the economy? The evaluations to date have been incomplete, so we looked at the likely stimulative effect from the spending parts of the House and ...
BIG RISKS, BIG OPPORTUNITIES
capitalspectator.com 1/12/2009 — The future is always unclear, and therein lies the chief source of risk in the investment challenge. The degree of risk isn't continuously steady. It ebbs and flows, like market prices and the careers of Hollywood actors.
The fact that risk levels ...
Stimulus for Who?
safehaven.com 1/27/2009 — This week the House is expected to pass an $825 billion economic stimulus package. In reality, this bill is just an escalation of a government-created economic mess. As before, a sense of urgency and impending doom is being used to extract ...
More stimulus notes
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com 1/7/2009 — Mind the gap
1. The new CBO budget and economic outlook is out. Above is its forecast for the GDP gap - the hole stimulus has to fill. I'd guess that the CBO estimate, which has unemployment averaging 8.3 percent in 2009 and 9 percent in 2010, is ...