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baselinescenario.com - 12/15/2008
Baseline Scenario, 12/15/08
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Baseline Scenario for 12/15/2008: pdf version Peter Boone, Simon Johnson, and James Kwak, copyright of the authors Summary 1) The world is heading into a severe slump, with declining output in the near term and no clear turnaround in sight. 2) Consumers in the US and the nonfinancial ...
Financial Crisis and Recession
woodwardhall.wordpress.com - 12/11/2008
Financial Crisis and Recession
— woodwardhall.wordpress.com — The Obama administration’s focus on infrastructure spending raises the natural question of the effect of government purchases... on total GDP. Does government spending stimulate other categories of spending, especially consumer spending? Or does ... (more) Financial Crisis and Recession

Comments vote down Marginal Revolution found this 12/11/2008found this
So Just When Does Spain's Twin Deficit Problem Become Unsustainable?
spaineconomy.blogspot.com - 12/13/2008
So Just When Does Spain's Twin Deficit Problem Become Unsustainable?
— spaineconomy.blogspot.com — This, it seems, is the question of the day. According to the IMF Spain’s economy faces a... contraction of at least one percent next year. And the IMF stress that the risks to this forecast “remain on the downside” since the country’s real-estate market ... (more) So Just When Does Spain's Twin Deficit Problem Become ...

Comments vote down Greece Economy Watch found this 12/13/2008found this
spectator.co.uk - 12/12/2008
The true extent of Britain's debt | Coffee House
— spectator.co.uk — Fraser Nelson 6:17pm How much is Britain s true national debt? Gordon Brown says 37% of GDP,... the ONS says 43% of GDP but this is just government debt. The reason Britain is in so much trouble is that our corporate and household debts are huge. It is ... (more) The true extent of Britain's debt | Coffee House

Comments vote down Stumbling and Mumbling found this 12/12/2008found this

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Abnormal Returns:  Monday links: finance is a confidence game

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Monday links: finance is a confidence game
Abnormal Returns — ... access to cheap money helps its efforts to stimulate the economy, it also may crowd out other borrowers.”  (WSJ.com) Whitney Tilson on 60 Minutes talking subprime, Alt-A, and Option ARMs.  (1440 Wall Street) Is a General Motors (GM) bankruptcy inevitable?  (naked capitalism) Expect a L-shaped economic recovery.  (Baseline Scenario) The Fed is meeting, and all that ...

Macro Perspectives for Short-Term Traders
TraderFeed — ... As an example of excellent macro thinking, I want to call attention to the insights of The Baseline Scenario blog. (See also their ...

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baselinescenario.com 2/9/2009 — Baseline Scenario for 2/9/2009 (11pm edition, February 8): link to pdf version Peter Boone, Simon Johnson, and James Kwak, copyright of the authors. Summary 1) The world is heading into a severe slump, with declining output in the near term ...
Baseline Scenario, 11/10/08
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