economist.com - 5/29/2009
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LIKE London buses, big events in America’s Treasury market all seem to come at once. In a week when the Treasury auctioned more than $100 billion of notes and bonds, ten-year Treasury yields surged to their highest level in six months, despite a buy-back offer by the Federal Reserve. That will ...
econompicdata.blogspot.com - 5/22/2009
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econompicdata.blogspot.com —
As the yield on the 30 Year Treasury
has spiked in recent months from a low of...
2.5% all the way up to 4.3%, the yield to worst on the Barclays Aggregate Bond Index (i.e. formerly the Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index - a blend of intermediate ...
(more)
High Quality Credit Risk vs. Duration Risk
slopeofhope.com - 5/26/2009
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slopeofhope.com —
The fact that the /ES didn't break 875
is bad news for the bears. Period. The above...
is a pretty damned bullish chart, as much as I hate to say it. The "upside risk" seems pretty substantial to me, as I look through my general ...
(more)
Upside Risk
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Friday Links
Alea —
Rule #1: Always Blame Derivatives
Fifteen Thoughts on Advantage in the Markets
How Harvard University Almost Destroyed Itself
Pimco’s Gross Says Harvard, Yale May Need to Alter Investments
Not so risk-free
DTCC wants to join Fed system
PPIP Unpopular, Stiglitz Wrong
Analyst Says The Treasury Collapse Is Bullish Sign
Extreme ...
Friday morning links
The Mess That Greenspan Made —
... hit record high in Q1 - AP • The Big Inflation Scare - Krugman, NY Times MARKETS/INVESTING • Not Mixing With Rest of Economy, Oil Floats Higher - Wash. Post • Gold jumps above $970/oz as dollar weakens - Nine MSN • Gross: Harvard, Yale May Need to Alter Investments - Bloomberg • India gold prices climb on global trends - Commodity Online • Stocks, Oil, Metals Rise as World Recession Eases - Bloomberg • Buttonwood: Not so risk-free - Economist ECONOMY • GDP revised to 5.7% ...
Friday links: the price of risk
Abnormal Returns —
... “America does not formally need to default to penalise its creditors; it can simply let its currency decline.” (Economist) ...
Eight Notes on the Actions of the US Government on the Economy
The Aleph Blog —
... Management, an Austin, Texas, manager of $4 billion in assets, “The sharp rise in Treasury yields isn’t a result of an economic recovery. That occurs when income, production, employment and sales, simultaneously, turn higher. Presently, these indicators merely show a lessened rate of decline.”
There are several possibilities here:
The rise in long Treasury yields is just an overshoot of the mortgage market.
Fears of eventual US underpayment in terms of current purchasing power.
A ...
Related: who is the federal reserve treasury?
A new accord? —
macroblog
As days go in the U.S. Treasury market, Wednesday was a rough one . Bloomberg News described the day's developments as follows:
"The difference in yields between Treasury two- and 10-year notes widened to a record on concern surging sales of U.S. debt will overwhelm the Federal Reserve's ...
Guest Post: Keynesians, Please Exit Stage Left —
naked capitalism
Submitted by Rolfe Winkler , publisher of OptionARMageddon Back in February, amidst the neo -Keynesian rage to spend our way out of recession, I argued that stimulus wouldn't stimulate . Pointing to the graph of the 10-year Treasury vs. 30-year mortgage rates I said that the ...
Secretary Geithner: Hayekian or Keynesian? —
Mises Economics Blog
According to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, Federal Reserve policy was "too loose for too long." Some of us see Geithner's remark as both a mea culpa on the part of the federal government and a confirmation of Austrian business-cycle theory. A more general examination of Geithner's ...
An Avalanche of Claptrap —
GoldSeek.com
Like snow at high altitudes, the central banks’ new money is piling up. As reported last week, all the world’s major central banks have turned on their snow machines. The US Federal Reserve has been authorized to “print” $1.75 trillion worth of new money in order to buy Treasury bonds.
Eery Greenspan and Geithner photos —
The Mess That Greenspan Made
Is anyone else just the least bit unsettled by these photos of long-time, now retired Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and current Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner both waving their hands while testifying before Congress. Of course, the hand-waving has long since stopped for the former ...