Submit a Story!
Could $30/bbl Oil Happen Before New Year’s Eve?
In this post last month, I described how the recent storage build might serve as a good proxy for describing a well supplied oil market. I also presented data suggesting that actual physical oil consumption may have been running 2 - 3 Mb/d beneath supplies. In this post, I will present ...
Filing Proposes 12-Month Natural Gas ETF
indexuniverse.com — Natural gas is trading in contango right now, but a proposed fund could offer a solution.... (more) Filing Proposes 12-Month Natural Gas ETF
Should Mexico Stop Exporting Oil?
gregor.us — In May, oil production from Mexico’s (previously) largest oil field Cantarell slipped below 700 kb/day . While... the death of Cantarell has been much discussed since it peaked five years ago at 2.1 Mb/day, what’s less recognized is that ... (more) Should Mexico Stop Exporting Oil?
ONGC’s Profit Unexpectedly Falls 16% on Lower Output (Update1)
bloomberg.com — June 24 (Bloomberg) -- Oil & Natural Gas Corp. , India’s biggest energy explorer, posted an unexpected... decline in fourth- quarter profit after production fell. Net income decreased 16 percent to 22.07 billion rupees ($455 million) in the three months ... (more) ONGC’s Profit Unexpectedly Falls 16% on Lower Output ...
Comments
Blog Reactions

Thursday morning links
The Mess That Greenspan Made — ... MarketWatch • Obama Plan Gets Wary Reception From Banks, Lawmakers - Bloomberg • Federal regulator is blamed in bank failures - LA Times • Chrysler set to reopen most plants - CNN/Money • Eddie Bauer Files for Bankruptcy - NY Times • State Income-Tax Revenues Sink - WSJ MARKETS/INVESTING • Oil rises above $71 amid falling inventories - AP • Gold dips, hovers below $940/oz; ETF unchanged - Reuters • Could $30/bbl Oil Happen Before New Year’s Eve? - The Oil Drum • RBOB Gasoline: From ...

Oil price: where next?
The Oil Drum - Discussions about Energy and Our Future — ... for the oil price? I believe that plateau supply of 84 to 88 mmbpd are secure for a couple of years as this summary of mega-projects compiled by Tony suggests (Figure 4). Therefore, the near term price will be controlled by demand. If the trend of Figure 3 holds good, then we could expect prices to rise towards $80 / bbl if demand rises by 2 mmbpd (likely spiking higher than that) or conversely falling to below $40 / bbl if demand drops a further 2 mmbpd, which is the scenario considered by Rune last month. ...

Related Content
Trading Strategy: Oil Stocks vs Oil
marketsci.wordpress.com 12/30/2008 — This strategy was inspired by the recent Bespoke post Oil Stocks Outperforming Oil in which Bespoke showed the historical ratio between the price of oil stocks and the price of oil itself. I’ve reproduced their graph below. Rising values indicate ...
Oil in Big Macs
gregor.us 6/9/2009 — There’s a temptation to believe that if one stripped out the USD from the price of oil, a better picture of oil’s cost would emerge. Over the years people have expressed Oil in Euros, Swiss Francs, and of course Gold–which does make ...
When Oil Was Free
gregor.us 3/25/2009 — Were you alive when oil was free? Were you born yet? Did you have TV? Let me help: Oil was free about two months ago in January, when it traded around 34.00 per barrel. Each barrel of oil contains about 5.8 million BTUs. Each American uses about 25 ...
Do You Know What You’re Doing With Oil ETFs?
etftrends.com 1/30/2009 — Goldman Sachs has stepped forward to warn of unprecedented flows into oil exchange traded funds (ETFs), and it has raised the question of whether investors know what they’re doing. What’s Behind the Jump? The energy analysts attribute the ...
Dow Jones Stock Market Forecast 2009 :: The Market Oracle :: Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting Free Website
marketoracle.co.uk 3/4/2009 — Economy for 2009 Global crude oil production peaked in 2008. This will mean that there will be no recovery from the recession. Global crude oil production had been rising briskly until 2004, then plateaued for four years. Because oil producers were ...
Canada's Oil Sands - Part 1
theoildrum.com 8/25/2009 — This is the first in a two-part series about Canada's oil sands. In this post, I will talk about a recent American Petroleum Institute (API)-sponsored media trip I made to see Canada's oil sands, and give a little background on material being ...
Oil Speculation ?
ritholtz.com 1/12/2009 — Yesterday’s 60 Minutes had a story on Oil Speculation. Its not that they said anything wrong, its more that they told 10% of the story of the rise and fall of energy prices. Surprisingly thin, it completely missed all of the many other factors ...
World Oil Production Forecast - Update May 2009
theoildrum.com 5/20/2009 — World oil production peaked in July 2008 at 74.82 million barrels/day (mbd) and now has fallen to about 71 mbd. It is expected that oil production will decline slowly to about December 2010 as OPEC production increases while non-OPEC production ...
Oil Outperforming Oil Stocks
bespokeinvest.typepad.com 8/5/2009 — Since peaking at the end of 2008, oil (the commodity) has outperformed oil stocks significantly. The chart below shows the ratio between the S&P; 500 Oil & Gas index and the price of oil. When the line is rising, oil stocks are outperforming, and when ...
My Working Model: Oil to Solar
gregor.us 4/30/2009 — It’s been a couple of years since I last watched Vinod Khosla talk about biofuels. During the second half of 2006 he cruised around the country giving a big pep talk on the promise of corn ethanol. This was during the news-cycle lead-up to ...
Fall In Oil Service Costs Not Over Yet (TOT, BP, RDS.A)Investopedia.com Headlines 6/17/2009
Oil service and drilling costs continue to fall, and there is no sign that it is stabilizing.
Explaining the oil-price rally: Taming a wild beastThe Economist: Full print edition 6/18/2009
As oil prices surge, so do worries about speculation THE oil market, born in Texas, is behaving like a bucking bronco again. Prices that careened from $147 a barrel in mid-2008 to $31 before the end of last year have jumped back to around $70 in ...
Venezuela's oil-dependent economy: Socialism on the never-neverThe Economist: Full print edition 6/18/2009
Hard times on the streets of Caracas GLOBAL capitalism may be in crisis, but thanks to “21st-century socialism” Venezuela’s economy is “armour-plated” and the country’s poor have nothing to fear. That has been the ...
Oil Gas Ratio At Extreme Levels (USO, UNG, FCG, CHK, GDP, WLL, DNR)Investopedia.com Headlines 6/18/2009
The ratio between the price of natural gas and oil is at a multi-year high, leaving most traders to bet that the price of natural gas will move higher.