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Economic Scene - The Bottom for Housing Is Probably Not  Near
Economic Scene - The Bottom for Housing Is Probably Not Near
The closest thing to a real estate crystal ball in the last few years has been the house auctions that are regularly held around the country. In 2006 and early 2007, the official housing statistics were still showing that house prices were holding up. But that was largely because so many ...
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NY Times' Leonhardt on House Prices
Calculated Risk — From David Leonhardt at the NY Times: For Housing Crisis, the End Probably Isn’t Near Note: See article for graphic on house prices to median income by city. ... I decided to go to an auction at a hotel ballroom in Washington — and to study the results of several others elsewhere — with an eye to figuring out whether prices may now be close to bottoming out. ... The winning bid on the first home auctioned off, a two-bedroom townhouse in Virginia Beach, was $115,000. Just last July, it sold for $182,000, according to property records. A four-bedroom ...

Links Earth Day
naked capitalism — ... the ‘green shoots’ of recovery could yet wither Martin Wolf, Financial Times How economics lost sight of real world John Kay, Financial Times Debtholders vs. U.S. Over Chrysler Deal New York Times. The bondholders want 65 cents on the dollar PLUS 40% of the company when the debt trade for 15 cents. And guess who is leading the bondholders? JP Morgan and Citi. Five Buildings that Should not have been Built Robert Green For Housing Crisis, the End Probably Isn’t Near David Leonhardt, New York Times. A new ...

Wednesday morning links
The Mess That Greenspan Made — ... Offer $1.1 Trillion Toxic-Asset Plan - Bloomberg • Central bank darkens view of recession - Globe & Mail • Canada Cuts Rate to 0.25%, May Keep It There for Year - Bloomberg • Sweden cuts rates to record low of 0.5% - Financial Times HOUSING • Las Vegas tops foreclosure list - CNN/Money • An Effort to Save a City by Shrinking It - NY Times • Mortgage rates likely to stay down all year - MarketWatch • For Housing Crisis, the End Probably Isn’t Near - NY Times FED/TREASURY/BANKING ...

Median Income vs Median Home Price
The Big Picture — Great interactive chart I meant to get to earlier this week, via the NYT: > > Source: For Housing Crisis, the End Probably Isn’t Near DAVID LEONHARDT NYT, April 21, 2009 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/22/business/economy/22leonhardt.html ...

The Elusive Housing “Fair Value”
The Big Picture — ... Second, we know the recession plus a glut of foreclosed homes creates a “self-reinforcing cycle.” Job losses and income decreases lead to more distressed sales, with prices especially pressured. Falling prices make put mortgage holders underwater — holding homes worth less than the mortgage. This leads to walkaways, jingle mail, and even more foreclosures. All of this adds up to an even greater excess supply of homes for sale. More supply equals lower prices. The entire vicious cycle continues. ...

Related: the bottom for housing is probably not near
Keepin' It Real Estate: Beware The False Bottom in HousingMinyanville
Residential real estate is about to get very weird. In the coming months housing-market data is likely to show price stabilization in many of the country’s hardest hit areas. Pundits government officials and real-estate professionals will loudly proclaim the worst of our real estate woes ...
A bottom in home prices is still far offThe Mess That Greenspan Made
Here's a very good indication that a bottom in home prices is still far off in the distance. According to this report in Forbes, some sellers are underpricing their homes in order to generate a bidding war and the speculative fervor in real estate is apparently returning, albeit on a small scale ...
Did The Housing Market Bottom In Late 2008?Daily Markets
WASHINGTON, DC - U.S. home prices rose 0.7% on a seasonally-adjusted basis from January to February, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s monthly House Price Index. January’s previously reported 1.7% increase was revised to a 1.0% increase. For the 12 months ending in ...
Did The Housing Market Bottom in Late 2008?CARPE DIEM
WASHINGTON, DC – U.S. home prices rose 0.7% on a seasonally-adjusted basis from January to February, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s monthly House Price Index. January’s previously reported 1.7% increase was revised to a 1.0% increase. For the 12 months ending in February, ...
Housing Activity ForecastCalculated Risk
Reuters is quoting Freddie Mac chief economist Frank Nothaft as saying that he believes U.S. housing sales are near a bottom. Nothaft also said about one-third of all sales were foreclosure resales. I disagree with Nothaft's forecast. My view is: New home sales are at or near a bottom.  ...
Cramer on BloggingStocks: This is what a housing bottom looks likeBloggingStocks
From TheStreet.com Network Stress Test Preview: Banks Holding Up JPMorgan Earnings Weighed by Consumer TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says builders have stopped, and prices have fallen to affordable levels. Housing bottoms form when homebuilders finally stop building. ...