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FORECAST: June 2009 — Total Nonfarm Payroll Down 260,000 (Updated 7/1/09)
FORECAST: June 2009 — Total Nonfarm Payroll Down 260,000 (Updated 7/1/09)
Based on improving Hiring Demand levels and the most recently-reported monthly payroll data for May, WANTED Technologies is forecasting that the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report a loss of 260,000 jobs in its upcoming June Employment Situation report. Several measures of employment ...
Unemployment: Stress Test Scenarios, Diffusion Index, Weekly Claims
Unemployment: Stress Test Scenarios, Diffusion Index, Weekly Claims
calculatedriskblog.com — Note: earlier Employment post: Employment Report: 467K Jobs Lost, 9.5% Unemployment Rate . The earlier post includes... a comparison to previous recessions. Stress Test Scenarios Click on graph for larger image in new window. This graph shows the ... (more) Unemployment: Stress Test Scenarios, Diffusion Index, ...
Back where we started
Back where we started
econbrowser.com — BLS reported that the total number of Americans employed in June on nonfarm payrolls came to 131.7... million workers on a seasonally adjusted basis. That's below the June 2000 figure of 131.8 million with which we started the decade. Source:  ... (more) Back where we started
Jobs Contract 18th Straight Month; Unemployment Rate Hits 9.5%
Jobs Contract 18th Straight Month; Unemployment Rate Hits 9.5%
globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com — This morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the June Employment Report . Nonfarm payroll employment... continued to decline in June (-467,000), and the unemployment rate was little changed at 9.5 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics ... (more) Jobs Contract 18th Straight Month; Unemployment Rate ...
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Employment Situation Report Preview
A Dash of Insight — ... New entrant Wanted Technologies uses an algorithm reflecting online job ads.  They have a startling forecast:  a loss of "only" 260,000 jobs.  Furthermore, they made their call on June 19th.  And why not?  That was the right time frame to match the payroll survey, and their online job data is more readily available in real time. ...

Employment Situation Report Preview
Daily Markets — ... uses data from their payroll administration business, information that no one else has.  They have attempted to gear their results to the “official” government report.  They forecast a loss of 473,000 jobs, amazingly close to TrimTabs. New entrant Wanted Technologies uses an algorithm reflecting online job ads.  They have a startling forecast:  a loss of “only” 260,000 jobs.  Furthermore, they made their call on June 19th.  And why not?  That was the right time frame to match the payroll survey, and their online job data is more readily available in real time. Conclusions ...

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A Closer Look At Payroll, Jobless Claims DataMinyanville
Jack Lavery is the former Global Chief Economist at Merrill Lynch and author of The Lavery Insight economic newsletter offered exclusively on Minyanville. For a free 14 day trial click here.Non-Farm Payrolls Drop More Than ExpectedNon-farm payrolls fell 467 000 in June worse than my forecast of ...
US non-farm payrolls fall 467,000 in JuneFT Alphaville
US non-farm payrolls fell by 467,000 in June, according to a worse-than-expected report released on Thursday by the US Labor Department. Economists in a Reuters survey had forecast that 363,000 jobs would be lost in the month. Revisions added 8,000 to payroll figures previously reported in May ...