calculatedriskblog.com - 4/29/2009
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Although Q1 GDP was very negative due to the sharp investment slump (this was expected, see: Q1 GDP will be Ugly ), the decline in Q1 was weighted towards lagging sectors. Click on graph for larger image in new window. This table shows the contribution to GDP for several sectors in Q1 2009 ...
econbrowser.com - 4/30/2009
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econbrowser.com —
Today's GDP numbers were about what I was
expecting. Although economic activity continued its sharp decline, if...
we continue to follow the script, things should improve. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that U.S. real GDP fell at a ...
(more)
Good economic news?
businessinsider.com - 4/29/2009
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businessinsider.com —
This morning's headline GDP numbers were pretty horrific,
but the Dow is up 110 points, perhaps because...
of that one consumer spending green shoot. And as deep as the number is, it's possible we'll see positive growth very soon. So says Richard Moody ...
(more)
Positive GDP As Soon As Next Quarter
baselinescenario.com - 4/30/2009
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baselinescenario.com —
For a complete list of Beginners articles, see
Financial Crisis for Beginners . My post about French...
sociology got a wide range of comments, ranging from “Without a doubt, your best post yet” to “Reading this post made me think, for the first time, of ignoring Baseline ...
(more)
GDP Growth Rates for Beginners
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Wednesday links: lunch is for wimps
Abnormal Returns —
... (The Hearing via Interfluidity)
The bad news. 1Q GDP sinks at a 6.1% rate. (Big Picture, Curious Capitalist, Economix, Felix Salmon, Capital Spectator, Alea, WashingtonPost.com)
The good news. Reasons for economic optimism. (Real Time Economics, Calculated Risk, Clusterstock, The Stash) ...
US GDP contracts sharply in Q1 but worst may be over
The Skeptical Speculator —
... However, Calculated Risk thinks that the news is actually not bad because "the decline in Q1 was weighted towards lagging sectors". The slump in residential investment, a leading sector, is already slowing and this suggests that the "worst of the GDP declines is probably over". ...
Volcker Says Economy is ‘Leveling Off’ even though GDP Shrinks Most in 50 Years
Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis —
... The good news is personal consumption expenditures is a leading indicator while the change in private inventories is a lagging indicator. Calculated Risk has a great set of charts on this theme in GDP Report: The Good News. ...
Monitoring the Economy
A Dash of Insight —
... Calculated Risk (another featured source) emphasizes that GDP is a lagging indicator, although he is cautious on the strength of the recovery. Readers should click through to see the excellent charts. ...
Related: residential investment as a percentage of gdp
The Investment Slump —
Calculated Risk
The huge investment slump was the key story in Q1. Click on graph for larger image in new window. Residential investment (RI) has been declining for 13 consecutive quarters, and Q1 2009 was the worst quarter (in percentage terms) of the entire bust. Residential investment declined at a 38% ...