Submit a Story!
Is the Implementation Lag for Infrastructure Investment a Problem?
Is the Implementation Lag for Infrastructure Investment a Problem?
There's been a lot of discussion about how the lack of "shovel-ready" infrastructure projects puts a constraint on government investment spending as a mode for delivering stimulus, since most infrastructure projects take a long time to plan and build. But what if the negative output gap is ...
On the Obama Stimulus Plan-Becker
becker-posner-blog.com — If the government increased its spending on infrastructure when the economy has full employment, its main impact... would likely be to draw labor, capital, and raw materials away from various other activities. In effect, increased government spending ... (more) On the Obama Stimulus Plan-Becker
Stimulus arithmetic (wonkish but important)
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com — Bit by bit we're getting information on the Obama stimulus plan, enough to start making back-of-the-envelope estimates... of impact. The bottom line is this: we're probably looking at a plan that will shave less than 2 percentage points off the average ... (more) Stimulus arithmetic (wonkish but important)
Will The Real Christina Romer Please Stand Up?
forbes.com — Most people in the incoming Obama administration--and, indeed, most people-- believe that the Keynesian model of the... economy is basically correct. Developed from the theories of John Maynard Keynes, this model maintains that economies can veer away ... (more) Will The Real Christina Romer Please Stand Up?
Comments
Blog Reactions

Economic Stimulus Package
Short-Term Trading — ... economy has lost more than 2.5 million jobs in the current recession. CNN "There's been a lot of discussion about how the lack of "shovel-ready" infrastructure projects puts a constraint on government investment spending as a mode for delivering stimulus, since most infrastructure projects take a long time to plan and build". "concerns about the time lags involved with investment projects are perhaps not as relevant as in the usual business cycle downturn". econbrowser May be but the idea of throwing such a huge amount of money into projects ...

Links 1/10/09
naked capitalism — ... Risk Banks May Take Hit on FHLB Stock Holdings Housing Wire Why Mortgage Payments Should be Lower than Rents Felix Salmon Warren On Tracking Bailout Funds: "This Isn't Rocket Science" TPM City wrong-footed by buoyant Christmas trading Telegraph. Retailers, that is. Business Week: Roubini Interview with Maria Bartiromo RGE Monitor 2009 Forecast Episode II: Deflation Strikes Back Accrued Interest Is the Implementation Lag for Infrastructure Investment a Problem? Menzie Chinn Antidote ...

links for 2009-01-10
Economist's ViewIs the Implementation Lag for Infrastructure Investment a Problem? - Econbrowser Why stabilisation policy should focus on the poor - voxeu.otg Andrew Mellon vs Bailout Nation - Bill Gross The Fiscal Stimulus: What Will Work? - Bruce Bartlett Debt and Wealth - Nick Rowe U.S. Monetary Policy Objectives in the Short and Long Run - FRBSF

Fed Watch: Short Takes for January 11, 2009
Economist's View — ... . Given growing estimates of the output gap, there is substantial concern that the early numbers are woefully insufficient to meet the economic needs of the nation. The concern is accentuated by the large tax cut component of the package, which is widely expected to have little bang for the buck. Menzie Chen argues that, contrary to concerns about enough shovel ready projects, there is plenty of room for infrastructure stimulus given the depth and duration of the expected output gap. And ...

Related Content
Financial Crisis and Recession
woodwardhall.wordpress.com 12/11/2008 — The Obama administration’s focus on infrastructure spending raises the natural question of the effect of government purchases on total GDP. Does government spending stimulate other categories of spending, especially consumer spending? Or does ...
U.S. GDP
measuringworth.org 3/14/2009 — Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country during a given time period. There are two ways to measure GDP: Nominal GDP is the dollar value of production at current-year prices. For ...
Good economic news?
econbrowser.com 4/30/2009 — Today's GDP numbers were about what I was expecting. Although economic activity continued its sharp decline, if we continue to follow the script, things should improve. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that U.S. real GDP fell at a ...
Preliminary Analysis of the President’s Budget
cboblog.cbo.gov 3/21/2009 — We have just released our latest projections for the budget and economic outlook, updating the projections published in early January 2009. In addition, we have reviewed the President’s budgetary proposals contained in the February publication A New ...
The financial return on energy invested
europe.theoildrum.com 6/23/2009 — Global GDP data from the USDA. Primary energy data and energy prices from the BP statistical reveiw of world energy 2009. Global GDP has grown steadily and continuously since WWII, in step with a growing global population and primary energy ...
Den Of Liars
market-ticker.denninger.net 12/24/2008 — That would be our government. It of course includes Congress, and until proven otherwise, all who came from Congress , including our President-Elect. Yeah, I know, we only have one President at a time. That's fine. But here's reality:  ...
The Commercial Real Estate Bust
calculatedrisk.blogspot.com 11/10/2008 — Since investment in non-residential structures is slowing (especially malls, hotels, and offices), a key question is how did the commercial real estate (CRE) investment boom compare to the residential housing bubble? And how did the CRE boom compare ...
A V-shaped recession?
econbrowser.com 7/2/2009 — As James Morley has pointed out, often a sharp economic downturn is followed by an equally sharp economic recovery. One reason for that is the liquidation of inventories that accompanies any recession and restocking that takes place in recovery. What ...
How Not to Stimulate the Economy
gregmankiw.blogspot.com 12/22/2008 — In thinking through the fiscal policy options and their implications, it might be useful to compare a few hypothetical, fanciful scenarios. Suppose that the federal government borrows some money and then... Case A : uses the money to give a lump-sum ...
GDP Goosed By TARP
ritholtz.com 2/2/2009 — Over the weekend, a hedgie friend added to our understanding of how bad GDP really was. We already knew that the rise in inventory contributed 1.29% points to GDP growth. Without the inventory build, the GDP number would have been down 5.1%.And, it ...
Interest rates: Combating the recessionThe Economist: Full print edition 1/8/2009
The base rate falls to an all-time low in the battle against the downturn THE decision made history. On January 8th the Bank of England cut the base rate from 2% to 1.5%, the lowest since the central bank was founded in 1694. The Bank of ...
This Recession Was Brought to You by the Letters U, V and LThe Big Money 1/12/2009
A popular question for economists lately has been what shape this recession will take. Will it be a “U,” a “V,” or maybe an “L”? Could we even find ourselves caught up in the roller coaster of a “W,” just when we think we’ve finally voted out that ...
The Botox BubbleThe Big Money 1/12/2009
The current recession is testing a lot of commonly held economic assumptions, such as the belief that health care was a recession-proof industry. People may not buy cars or go on trips when the economy shrinks, but they still get sick, have ...
Got To WorkThe Big Money 1/14/2009
Looks like the Obama administration is finally remembering who most of its voters were: women. During the early rollout of the Obama jobs program, all the talk was of roads, bridges, and alternative fuel. And as many people  quickly noticed , that ...