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globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com - 1/9/2009
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Before taking a look at the monthly jobs data, let's take a look at Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims from The US Department of Labor. click on chart for sharper image For a look at how well states are handling the massive rise in claims, please see Unemployment Claims Crash Multiple ...
econbrowser.com - 1/15/2009
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econbrowser.com —
The trade release has already been remarked upon,
in terms of the dropoff in both exports and...
imports signaling a synchronized recession. [1] , [2] , [3] , [4] I have little to add here, except for plotting the "cliff-diving" in log real terms. ...
(more)
The Startling Dropoff in Trade Flows
paul.kedrosky.com - 1/11/2009
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paul.kedrosky.com —
I have been sent this Reuters story from
yesterday umpteen times, so I may as well post...
it, as well as the underlying graph. The gist: If unemployment were being measured the same way as it was during the Depression, the U.S. would be well on its way ...
(more)
There's Unemployment, and Then There's Unemployment
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com - 1/7/2009
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krugman.blogs.nytimes.com —
Mind the gap 1. The new CBO budget
and economic outlook is out. Above is its forecast...
for the GDP gap - the hole stimulus has to fill. I'd guess that the CBO estimate, which has unemployment averaging 8.3 percent in 2009 and 9 percent in 2010, is ...
(more)
More stimulus notes
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Unemployment Rate Hits 13.5%... err, I'm sorry 7.2%
Fund My Mutual Fund —
... Here is the link to the Mish article I link to each month - once more, if you have joined the site in the past 2 months I urge you to please read my post from October this weekend for a reality check on "government figures". The Great Depression had mid 20%s unemployment (how accurate that was? who knows - I doubt very accurate) - but we can measure quite accurately the 70s and early 80s. We are already in as bad shape as then and the next 3-5 months will get far worse. ...
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