nakedshorts.typepad.com - 11/20/2008
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cognative.dissonance@busted-carp-retail.com To the mall. Not, I stress, to mount a one-man campaign against declining retail sales. But my eye is drawn to the garish sign.
Well, it’s hardly news that Steve & Barry’s have...ummmm...challenges of the extinction level kind.
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Random Datapoint: Brokers vs Communists
paul.kedrosky.com 8/19/2009 — According to Bloomberg, there are now more brokerage accounts in markets-mad China than there are members of the Communist Party. I never thought I’d say this, but I think we need a few more communists. [via Bloomberg ]
U.S. Recession Probabilities
uoregon.edu 12/1/2008 — Recession Probabilities This page presents recession probabilities for the United States obtained from a dynamic-factor markov-switching model applied to four monthly coincident variables: non-farm payroll employment, the index of industrial ...
The Government's Recession Versus Your Recession
247wallst.com 12/1/2008 —
As if you did not notice, the US economy is in a recession. We have been maintaining that for just about the whole of 2008. Now today we have the official data from the National Bureau of Economic Research. The NBER said its ...
Is This A Crisis Or Just A Recession?
baselinescenario.com 12/8/2008 — The world seems quiet. Sure, we have record job losses in the US, a likely decline in global trade for 2009, and what seems like to be a Great Leap Downwards for Chinese growth. But no one is quite as worried as they were a month ago, let alone ...
Fed Watch: The Great Recession
economistsview.typepad.com 11/3/2008 — Tim Duy looks at the Fed's likely reaction to a weakening economy:
The Great Recession, by Tim Duy : Economic weakness that in many ways did not qualify as recessionary turned
for the worse in the third quarter. Incoming data continues to ...
Recession is 'Official:' Is It Time To Look Forward?
financialphilosopher.typepad.com 12/2/2008 — Pencil_binoculars "It' easy to see -- hard to foresee." ~ Benjamin Franklin Now that we are "officially" in a Recession, what does that mean for stocks going forward? Of course, no one really knows the answer to that question, and I certainly will ...
"Recession? Why Worry?"
economistsview.typepad.com 11/22/2008 — In an oldie, John Kenneth Galbraith explains why, for many, there is no rush
to enact stabilization policy when the economy turns downward:
Recession? Why Worry?, by John Kenneth Galbraith, Commentary, NY Times :
Reputable economic attitudes ...
The Recession Bowl
tbm.thebigmoney.com 1/30/2009 — Some may argue about the players or the play on the field; others can’t wait for the Boss to show up. And the ads will keep YouTube busy. The Super Bowl is a national event, and this year’s host committee in Tampa, Fla., is doing everything it can to stir up interest : tree-planting fun, a golf tournament with “I’m going to Disney World” quarterback Doug Williams, and a gospel celebration featuring Mary Mary and the NFL Players All-Star Choir . Plus, the recession spurs a search for free ...
NOW Are We In Recession?
content.ksg.harvard.edu 10/31/2008 — Is the United States in recession? If one looked solely at the adverse shocks that have hit the economy over the last year, one would infer an unusually high probability of a recession. If one consulted some of the most import economic ...