financialphilosopher.typepad.com - 12/2/2008
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Pencil_binoculars "It' easy to see -- hard to foresee." ~ Benjamin Franklin Now that we are "officially" in a Recession, what does that mean for stocks going forward? Of course, no one really knows the answer to that question, and I certainly will not attempt to do so here. What some of you ...
search.bloomberg.com - 12/1/2008
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search.bloomberg.com —
Minerd doubts that private savings in the U.S.
and foreign purchases of Treasury debt will be sufficient...
to meet those government cash requirements. That leaves the Fed to take up the slack; that is, monetization of the debt. (in English this means ...
(more)
US in Recession for a Year
telegraph.co.uk - 11/29/2008
uoregon.edu - 12/1/2008
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uoregon.edu —
Recession Probabilities This page presents recession probabilities for
the United States obtained from a dynamic-factor markov-switching model...
applied to four monthly coincident variables: non-farm payroll employment, the index of industrial ...
(more)
U.S. Recession Probabilities
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Stock Market Performance During Recessions
The Big Picture —
Gorgeous recession chart porn, via the Financial Philosopher:
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The Trouble with Recession Averages
Paul Kedrosky's Infectious Greed —
... (via Financial Philosopher)). It's cute, and helpful-ish, but it also points to one of the problems with all the current chatter about how long the average recession runs. Scan it first, and my commentary follows. ...
Stock Market Performance During Recessions
My Money Blog —
Stumbled across another interesting chart from Fidelity Investments showing stock market performance during and after previous recessions: Found via the Financial Philosopher , who stated: Now that we are “officially” in a Recession, what does that mean for stocks going forward? Of course, no one really knows the answer to that question, and I certainly will not attempt to do so here. What some of you may not know, however, is that, once the “recession call” is made, stocks have historically been quite close to a significant march upward. The reason for this is that economists ...
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What's really different about this recession?
macroblog.typepad.com 8/14/2009 — What's Really Different About This Recession?
The short answer to the question posed in the title of this blog post is, of course, "lots of things." One of those things is featured in the latest edition of Economic Highlights , the Atlanta Fed's ...
Official: Recession Started in December 2007
aleablog.com 12/1/2008 — Yep, we have been in a recession for a year…
The Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research met by conference call on Friday, November 28. The committee maintains a chronology of the beginning and ending ...
5 Suprising Recession-Proof Industries
businesspundit.com 7/24/2009 — What do you think of when you hear “2009 recession?” If frozen credit, failed automakers, and dying newspapers come to mind, you’re on the mark.
But how about books, beef, and concierge doctors? Or iPhones and candy? Surprisingly ...
The Government's Recession Versus Your Recession
247wallst.com 12/1/2008 —
As if you did not notice, the US economy is in a recession. We have been maintaining that for just about the whole of 2008. Now today we have the official data from the National Bureau of Economic Research. The NBER said its ...
The Recession Bowl
tbm.thebigmoney.com 1/30/2009 — Some may argue about the players or the play on the field; others can’t wait for the Boss to show up. And the ads will keep YouTube busy. The Super Bowl is a national event, and this year’s host committee in Tampa, Fla., is doing everything it can to stir up interest : tree-planting fun, a golf tournament with “I’m going to Disney World” quarterback Doug Williams, and a gospel celebration featuring Mary Mary and the NFL Players All-Star Choir . Plus, the recession spurs a search for free ...
Is This A Crisis Or Just A Recession?
baselinescenario.com 12/8/2008 — The world seems quiet. Sure, we have record job losses in the US, a likely decline in global trade for 2009, and what seems like to be a Great Leap Downwards for Chinese growth. But no one is quite as worried as they were a month ago, let alone ...
Fed Watch: The Great Recession
economistsview.typepad.com 11/3/2008 — Tim Duy looks at the Fed's likely reaction to a weakening economy:
The Great Recession, by Tim Duy : Economic weakness that in many ways did not qualify as recessionary turned
for the worse in the third quarter. Incoming data continues to ...
Hedge Fund Strategies During the Recession
richard-wilson.blogspot.com 4/1/2009 — Hedge Fund Strategies During the Recession Just came across an article which on top of the normal industry regulation and redemption talk discussed what strategies might actually do well over the next year or two. In addition to the ideas quoted below I believe that more simple, easy to ...
Business Cycle: Temporal Order
calculatedriskblog.com 3/15/2009 — I've written extensively about using housing as a leading indicator for recessions and recoveries. Professor Leamer of the UCLA Anderson Forecast presented a very readable paper on this topic at the 2007 Jackson Hole conference: Housing and the ...
Embracing Recession —
The Big Money 12/2/2008
It's official: The U.S. economy has been in recession since last December , according to new figures from the National Bureau of Economic Research.
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