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Recovery? How, Given THIS?
market-ticker.denninger.net - 10/24/2009
Recovery? How, Given THIS?
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This is the sort of thing that, in my opinion, makes meaningful economic recovery impossible. (Click for a larger copy) Here's what it says: To continue to provide our customers with access to credit, we have had to adjust our pricing. .... These changes include an ...
baselinescenario.com - 10/30/2009
Baseline Scenario, October 30, 2009
— baselinescenario.com — Yesterday morning I testified to a Joint Economic Committee of Congress hearing. The session discussed the latest... GDP numbers, the impact of the fiscal stimulus earlier this year, and whether we need further fiscal expansion of any kind. I argued that a global recovery is underway and in ... (more) Baseline Scenario, October 30, 2009

Comments vote down jamesykwak jamesykwak posted 10/30/2009posted this
curiouscapitalist.blogs.time.com - 10/29/2009
The Curious Capitalist
— curiouscapitalist.blogs.time.com — What can we learn from this morning's surprisingly strong 3.5% real GDP growth report ? 1) Goldman... Sachs does not know all. The bank's economists had been on eerie run of sending out prescient alerts the day before major data releases—mainly the ... (more) The Curious Capitalist

Comments vote down Abnormal Returns found this 10/29/2009found this
The GDP Mirage
businessweek.com - 10/30/2009
The GDP Mirage
— businessweek.com — By overlooking cuts in research and development, product design, and worker training, GDP is greatly overstating the... economy's strength (more) The GDP Mirage

Comments vote down The Mess That Greenspan Made found this 10/30/2009found this

Blog Reactions

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis:  Citigroup's "Hail Mary Pass": How To Know Citigroup Is In Serious Trouble

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Citigroup's "Hail Mary Pass": How To Know Citigroup Is In Serious Trouble
Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis — ... In case you missed it, please take a look at Karl's post from yesterday Recovery? How, Given THIS? where he showed some nice Citigroup statistics and an actual "jack letter" from Citigroup to its customers. ...

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Every recovery is the same; each recovery is different
macroblog.typepad.com 8/7/2009 — Two weeks ago, macroblog looked at the rather pessimistic expectations for what the economic recovery might look like this time around. Included was part of the narrative noting that structural adjustments are likely to impede a quick snapback in ...
Jobless Recovery?
aiki14.com 10/4/2009 — So you hear the term “Jobless Recovery” in the News, I want to take a look at the concept. The first thing that comes to my mind is the term is an oxymoron. After a little thought I think it is necessary, in order to have a meaningful ...
What will recovery look like?
econbrowser.com 3/15/2009 — When good news comes, what should we expect to see? The graph below plots the quarterly percentage change (at an annual rate) for real GDP and some of its key components since 1947. Calculated Risk has noted that the typical recession pattern is ...
Will rising oil prices derail the recovery?
econbrowser.com 26 days ago — Last April I described new research on the role of oil prices in the recent recession. Here's an update on what's happened since then. In a paper presented at the Brookings Institution last spring , I examined the post-sample forecasting ...
King Report: no meaningful recovery until the essential structural reforms are enacted
ritholtz.com 10/29/2009 — > Traders again bought stocks on Wednesday’s open but an unexpectedly soft New Home Sales report chilled bullish proclivities. September New Home Sales declined 3.6% to 402k; 440k was expected. And once again, the previous month’s data was ...
Some call it recovery
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com 8/23/2009 — The stimulus has helped, and the conventional recession is over. But the economy is not recovering in the most crucial area, job creation, and the stimulus won't be enough to restore prosperity.
A V-shaped recession?
econbrowser.com 7/2/2009 — As James Morley has pointed out, often a sharp economic downturn is followed by an equally sharp economic recovery. One reason for that is the liquidation of inventories that accompanies any recession and restocking that takes place in recovery. What ...
Good economic news?
econbrowser.com 4/30/2009 — Today's GDP numbers were about what I was expecting. Although economic activity continued its sharp decline, if we continue to follow the script, things should improve. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that U.S. real GDP fell at a ...
On Revisions and on Conditioning
econbrowser.com 11/1/2009 — Both have to be "handled with care". Revisions We're all tempted to make predictions on the basis of the last data point. And even more difficult to resist is the temptation to make definitive statements on the basis of data that are sure to ...
The financial return on energy invested
europe.theoildrum.com 6/23/2009 — Global GDP data from the USDA. Primary energy data and energy prices from the BP statistical reveiw of world energy 2009. Global GDP has grown steadily and continuously since WWII, in step with a growing global population and primary energy ...