globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com - 10/31/2008
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This article features a long term comparison between the S&P 500 Index and the Japanese stock market as measured by the Nikkei Index. The Nikkei peaked almost two decades ago. Here is the first chart to consider. Nikkei Monthly Chart click on chart for sharper image The period from 1990 ...
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Public Pensions Place Undue Burden on Staggering Economy
Minyanville —
... plans has finally exploded. Here are a few articles to consider: Future Expectations Too High The above is just a random sampling of hundreds of articles about pension plan woes. 40% of pension plans are underfunded - and that assumes future returns of 8% annually. Good luck with that. Now, think how bad things will be if the S&P drops to 600. Go one step further and think about what might happen if the US heads into an economic slump similar to Japan. For a quick review please see S&P 500 Crash Count Compared to Nikkei Index . Nikkei Monthly Chart ...
This Looks A Lot Like 1930
Minyanville —
... five waves down into March is an "A". In this scenario, wave "C" will take out the March low. This is the most bearish outlook and one that I'm increasingly in favor of. It would match what happened in the Great Depression. A second likely possibility is a "bottom may be in but we aren't going anywhere" for a long time scenario. Perhaps new lows are made, perhaps not. Such a scenario would play out similar to the "Lost Two Decades" In Japan. Please see my October 23, 2008, post S&P 500 Crash Count Compared To Nikkei Index for details. The least likely possibility, but one ...
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