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Take a Longer View on Volatility
Take a Longer View on Volatility
WITH ALL THE TURMOIL IN the markets over the course of the past year or so, the CBOE Volatility Index, commonly known as the VIX, has received a great deal of media attention as a gauge of investor fear and anxiety. As a result of its elevated profile, the VIX is now followed by a wider variety ...
Battle Of The Fear Indexes
Battle Of The Fear Indexes
sentimentrader.blogspot.com — A couple of months ago, Credit Suisse rolled out a new indicator that was supposed to be... a new and improved "fear index". The de facto standard for such indicators is the VIX, with which nearly everyone is familiar.  The higher it goes, the ... (more) Battle Of The Fear Indexes
VIX Convergence Zone in Mid-20s
VIX Convergence Zone in Mid-20s
vixandmore.blogspot.com — Since Fridays are days in which recent VIX lows are often tested, I thought this might be... a good time to step back from the typical VIX daily chart and look at a weekly chart. In the chart below, I have elected to go back to the beginning of 2006 to capture the details of what was arguably the ... (more) VIX Convergence Zone in Mid-20s
Interest in VIX Spikes as Volatility Declines
Interest in VIX Spikes as Volatility Declines
vixandmore.blogspot.com — I was not at all surprised that when the VIX spiked over 80 last October, this blog... was the beneficiary of a similar spike in readership. In fact, spikes in visitors to the blog have been highly correlated with the VIX and with various volatility events since the blog was launched in January ... (more) Interest in VIX Spikes as Volatility Declines
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Guest Columnist for Steven Sears at Barron’s Today
VIX and More — Thanks to Steven Sears at Barron’s for giving me an opportunity to contribute to his excellent options column, The Striking Price Daily, while he is on vacation. It should surprise very few readers that I elected to write about a subject that has garnered a great deal of attention on this blog, the CBOE S&P 500 Three-Month Volatility Index. Of course we just call it VXV here. The Barron’s column, Take a Longer View on Volatility, is available to subscribers and non-subscribers alike. ...

Friday links: the factor of chance
Abnormal Returns — We want to wish all of our readers a happy and healthy Fourth of July. Don’t believe all the hype about record Wall Street bonuses.  (The Big Money) Taking a longer term look at implied volatility.  (Barron’s) Bond default rates continue to rise.  (DealBook) Mortgage REITs are the new vehicle of choice to invest in beaten down real estate.  (WSJ) Welcome back ...

Event Volatility vs. Structural Volatility
the alpha and omega — Bill Luby writes (Barron's): The 30-day VIX time horizon primarily captures what I call "event volatility" that is associated with scheduled events such as important economic data releases, earnings reports, as well as various scenarios associated with high-profile geopolitical and other events which are likely to cast a shadow over the next month. By comparison, the 93-day time horizon of VXV guarantees it will encompass an entire earnings cycle, a full quarter of the economic-data-release cycle and two FOMC meetings. The VXV is more focused ...

Related: vxx
Wednesday links: simple signals
abnormalreturns.com 7/8/2009 — The United States Natural Gas Fund ( UNG ) runs out of shares. ( WSJ , Daily Options Report ) Has John Meriwether finally run out of chances? ( DealBook , Bespoke ) “With all of the chatter recently of bullish moving average crossovers ...
The Calendar Strikes BackDaily Options Report
You know those calendar quirks in the VIX I often mention? The early action today provides a good example. We have a VIX up 7% or so as I type. Which sounds reasonable given the weak market. But at the same time we see VXX up only about .40%. Again, VXX is a perpetual 30 day VIX future. On an ...
July Forth?Technically Speaking, Market Analysis and Theory
Click charts to ENLARGE. W.D. Gann adherents analyze possible reversals using price and time. Here's VXX, the VIX Short-term futures ETF. VXX has moved south for a long period and moved from a high of 120 to a low of 65.87. Today VXX reversed, closed above the open, above yesterday's close, and ...