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The January Effect After Really Bad Years In Stocks
The January Effect After Really Bad Years In Stocks
2008 is shaping up to be a terrible year for stocks with most indices down around 40%. It doesn’t do any good to worry about what has happened, but a better question is: what can I do now? While our flagship model is a very simple trendfollowing system , I spend a lot of time ...
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Thursday links: scary predictions
Abnormal Returns — ... The January Effect works in spades after really bad years for stocks.  (World Beta) ...

Further reading
FT Alphaville — Elsewhere on Friday: - Dubbed the world’s biggest heist by Felix Salmon at Portfolio and the year’s biggest story according to Financial Armageddon , the SEC charges Bernard L. Madoff for multi-billion dollar Ponzi scheme. - The big three automakers will face an immediate cash crisis writes CNN. - What will low T-bill yields do to money market funds? - WSJ - The January effect on stocks - World Beta - A quick take on the growing US trade deficit - Brad Setser - The Fed declines to tell Bloomberg who’s ...

Microcap seasonal strategy
microcapspeculator.net» The Microcap Speculator — ... Over at World Beta, Mebane Faber has a great post on the “January effect.”  That term describes the tendency of microcap and smallcap stocks to  dramatically outperform both on a relative and absolute basis during the month of January.  I’ve mentioned ...

Your Guide to Cashing In on the January Effect
Trading Goddess — ... There is much debate as to whether or not the January Effect is real. Meaning do stocks actually rise in January? The chart below, courtesy of World Beta, suggests they do. The chart shows the results of trading the January effect over the past 80 years. The red line represents buying and holding the bottom 20% of the US stock market during January of each year; the blue line represents investing in the S&P 500 during January of each year. Both strategies prove to be consistently profitable. ...

LinkFest
World Beta - Engineering Targeted Returns and Risk — ... 2.  Look for a particularly pronounced January Effect in beaten down microcaps.  Poor but mixed.  Small caps and microcaps performed poorly - down around 10% and 13% respectively vs. down around 8% for large caps.  I mentioned two stock screens as well.  The first was down a whopping 20% while the second was up around 6%.  The second screen used insider buying as a screen criteria, so maybe beaten down stocks that are experiencing heavy insider buying are good opportunities right now?  The performance was also much ...

Related Content
Video: Wall St. Looks for "January Effect"
marketnewslive.blogspot.com 1/6/2009 — After taking a beating in 2008, investors are hoping the year's first 5 trading days bring good news. The first week of the trading year is underway, and investors are watching for indications of the year ahead. The January effect has been accurate more than 85 percent of the time.
The January Effect: Put the Calendar On Your Side
tradingmarkets.com 1/6/2009 — January is typically a good month to find lower stock prices as traders sell off in a hurry to minimize personal tax levies, but this year could prove to be exceptionally beneficial.
The Denominator Effect: A Good Problem To Have?
pehub.com 12/11/2008 — Like all institutional investors, CalPERS has been hard hit by the denominator effect. According to new documents released ahead of its Dec. 15 investment board meeting, the pension system’s actual allocation to alternative investments is now 40% ...
Short Publications - Cause and Effect
aei.org 12/16/2008 — Download file Click here to view this Outlook as an Adobe Acrobat PDF. November 2008 Although the media are full of talk that we face a "crisis of capitalism," the underlying cause of the financial meltdown is something much more mundane and ...
How To Play The January Effect This Year With CEFs
tradersnarrative.com 12/16/2008 — As this annus horribilis draws to a close, we are left ducking shoe after shoe that drops or is flung at us. But this year’s abysmal performance has a silver lining. It offers a sumptuous buffet for those who finish off the year with a play on the ...
Good news, good news, bad news
marginalrevolution.com 11/22/2008 — The Dow is up 6.5 percent .  And Tim Geithner will be Treasury Secretary.  That's the two pieces of good news.  The bad news is that the market is up because of a political appointment .  That's really very bad news, especially ...