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The VIX, Lehman Brothers, and Forecasting
Jeff Kearns and Michael Tsang of Bloomberg have an article out today ( VIX Fails to Forecast S&P 500 Drop, Loses Followers ) in which the authors contend that largely because the VIX failed to predict the October losses in the S&P 500 index (SPX), the VIX is no longer considered to be ...
The Volatility of the VIX:  From Bear Panic to Barely Elevated
The Volatility of the VIX: From Bear Panic to Barely Elevated
traderfeed.blogspot.com — VIX , a measure of implied volatility for S&P 500 options, has been making multi-month lows this... past week, declining even as stocks have moved lower. Equally interesting, the volatility of the VIX itself--measured in the chart above as a ... (more) The Volatility of the VIX: From Bear Panic to Barely ...
Top Finance Blogs of 2008
condoroptions.com — In the holiday spirit, we wanted to give some link love and to say thanks to the... bloggers who have consistently captured our attention this year. In no particular order, here are some sites that really deserve your time. Go ahead and add them to ... (more) Top Finance Blogs of 2008
The VIX Annual Cycle
The VIX Annual Cycle
vixandmore.blogspot.com — Two years ago, when I was the only person reading this blog, I posted about VIX seasonal... patterns in A Month By Month Look at the VIX . Since the original post I have received quite a few requests to update the chart with more recent data. On the ... (more) The VIX Annual Cycle
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VIX Searching for It's Mojo
Daily Options Report — ... wouldn’t fluctuate” more than 7% in the next 30 days. Think of the math here. It’s pretty simple. One standard deviation means there is a 2/3 chance of staying inside the range and that there is a 1/3 chance of being outside of the range. The fact that the index was outside of the implied range should not surprise anyone. There was a 33% chance that would happen. What is surprising is that people actually believe this is significant. Indeed. To which Bill Luby adds. Some quick comments on the math involved here. Using a ...

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Late Day Rallies, the SPX and the VIX
vixandmore.blogspot.com 5/30/2009 — Today was an interesting trading day, particularly during the last hour of equity trading. The graphic at the bottom records (in Pacific Time) the intraday movements in the VIX, which was essentially flat for all but the first hour and the last 22 ...
The 1000th Post
vixandmore.blogspot.com 6/23/2009 — If Blogger’s math is to be believed, this is my millennial post. I had originally intended to roll this post out with limited fanfare, but a strange confluence of events has caused me to reconsider. First, over the weekend, the blog received substantial accolades from Barron’s options columnist ...
VIX: Still the Fear Index?
minyanville.com 4/7/2009 — The CBOE Volatility Index, VIX , was created and began tracking market data in June, 1988. For most of its 20-year history, VIX was considered by many traders and investors to be a measure of the current fear or complacency of market participants. ...
What the VIX Thinks About Tuesday’s Breakdown
vixandmore.blogspot.com 1/21/2009 — I know I shouldn’t be referring to the VIX as a sentient being, but I get so many questions along the lines of “what does the VIX think about…?” that I hope I can be excused for an occasional anthropomorphic slip of the keyboard. In any event, I ...
VIX Expiration Straddles
vixandmore.blogspot.com 4/16/2009 — With less than an hour left before today’s trading session comes to a close and the April VIX options can no longer be traded, this seems like as good a time as any to mention a pure overnight volatility gamble: the VIX expiration straddle. I have ...
More Volatility + Less Fear = Lower VIX?
vixandmore.blogspot.com 3/12/2009 — Yesterday’s rally resulted in a 6.4% jump in the SPX and pulled the 10 and 20 day historical volatility in the SPX up to levels not seen since December. While very few investors are convinced that last week’s bottom is now safe, there is a growing ...
Quick VXX
adamsoptions.blogspot.com 6/12/2009 — Got some recent questions on this VXX, so just wanted to run a quick refresher. VXX is an ETN that tracks a rolling 30 day VIX future. So right here, right now, it's pretty close to a July future. A VIX future itself is a cash settled estimate for ...
Tricks of the VIX
minyanville.com 3/8/2009 — When it comes to the VIX lately the question on everyone’s mind is why it's been relatively flat -- and considerably lower than it was in October and November 2008 -- while the markets have been making multi-year lows. There are a couple of ways ...
Volatility in Context with VIX at Post-Lehman Low
vixandmore.blogspot.com 6/10/2009 — Yesterday the VIX closed at 28.27, its lowest close since the VIX ended the day at the 25.66 level on September 12, 2008 – the Friday before the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy filing. In addition to the new lows in the VIX, a number of measures of historical volatility (HV) in the S&P 500 ...
Volatility Analysis for July 15, 2009
vixandmore.blogspot.com 7/16/2009 — One what was one of the more interesting days in volatility in a long time, I thought I should pass along a few random comments. The intraday tick for tick positive correlation between the VIX and the SPX was as strong as I have ever seen. Most of the time the VIX and the SPX move in opposite ...