globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com - 4/4/2009
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For seven consecutive months the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has revised downward, prior job loss data. The New York Times mentioned this on March 6 in Will Job Numbers Keep Being Revised Down? Robert Barbera, the chief economist of ITG, points out a more disturbing trend: The Labor ...
Employment Report Preview
oldprof.typepad.com 8/7/2009 — Each month we ask the question, "What change in payroll employment
would be consistent with other economic data from the same time period
(the middle of the prior month)? This is not a forecast, per se ,
since we do not posit any causal relationship ...
Critics of the BLS Birth/Death Adjustment Proven Wrong
oldprof.typepad.com 10/5/2008 — The actual job count is in . It shows whether the much-maligned birth/death adjustment improved the monthly job count, as the expert BLS team contended, or whether they government was creating "fictional jobs" as maintained by the many ...
Intuition and Economics
oldprof.typepad.com 7/10/2009 — (This is the second installment of our series describing how the BLS might respond to critics of the Birth/Death adjustment. See Part One here. ) Everyone uses intuition, making decisions that seem instinctive rather than the result of a carefully ...
Import/Export Price Indexes (MXP)
bls.gov 10/11/2008 — Contacts Technical Assistance: Media Contact: Regional Office Assistance: Information about the Import/Export Price Indexes and other BLS data may be obtained from any of the eight BLS Regional Economic Analysis and Information offices . Fax on ...
It's not over yet
econbrowser.com 8/9/2009 — Some are greeting Friday's employment report as an all-clear signal. But my advice is, keep your helmet on-- they're still shooting real bullets out there.
Let's start with the good news. I first called attention to the favorable turn in new ...
Forecasting the Jobs Report
oldprof.typepad.com 6/5/2009 — MarketWatch tells us that today's selling was concern about the labor market and the resulting economic contribution of consumers. We sympathize with journalists who need a daily lead to explain modest market moves. We are amazed that market ...
Jobs Contract 19th Straight Month; Unemployment Rate Inches Lower to 9.4%
globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com 8/13/2009 — This morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the July Employment Report . Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in July (-247,000), and the unemployment rate was little changed at 9.4 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor ...
Jobs Contract 16th Straight Month; Unemployment Rate Soars to 8.9%
globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com 5/8/2009 — This morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the April Employment Report . Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in April (-539,000), and the unemployment rate rose from 8.5 to 8.9 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of ...
Jobs Contract 18th Straight Month; Unemployment Rate Hits 9.5%
globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com 7/3/2009 — This morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the June Employment Report . Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in June (-467,000), and the unemployment rate was little changed at 9.5 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics ...