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Will Stimulus Take Hold?
Timothy R. Homan, writing for Bloomberg says GDP Probably Grew as Stimulus Took Hold The economy in the U.S. probably grew in the third quarter at the fastest pace in two years as government stimulus helped bring an end to the worst recession since the 1930s, economists said before reports this ...
A welcome GDP report
A welcome GDP report
econbrowser.com — The Commerce Department reported today that the seasonally adjusted real value of the nation's production of goods... and services grew at a 3.5% annual rate during the third quarter, a little better than the 3.2% average seen since 1947.  ... (more) A welcome GDP report
Baseline Scenario, October 30, 2009
baselinescenario.com — Yesterday morning I testified to a Joint Economic Committee of Congress hearing. The session discussed the latest... GDP numbers, the impact of the fiscal stimulus earlier this year, and whether we need further fiscal expansion of any kind. I argued that a global recovery is underway and in ... (more) Baseline Scenario, October 30, 2009
The Curious Capitalist
curiouscapitalist.blogs.time.com — What can we learn from this morning's surprisingly strong 3.5% real GDP growth report ? 1) Goldman... Sachs does not know all. The bank's economists had been on eerie run of sending out prescient alerts the day before major data releases—mainly the ... (more) The Curious Capitalist
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Twelve Reasons for the Job-Loss Recovery
Minyanville — ... for an interesting rant about the pension mess in California. Most states are in the same boat, although California is the worst of the lot. 11. Stimulus spending. Japan has already proven that Keynesian and Monetarist solutions cannot and do not work, yet we try anyway. Please see Will Stimulus Take Hold? for details. 12. Deficit spending in general. Spending what you don't have and cannot afford never solves anything. We can no longer afford to be the word's police officers, but still attempt to do so at enormous cost. Indeed, there are many things we cannot afford and ...

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GDP Probably Grew as Stimulus Took Hold: U.S. Economy Preview
bloomberg.com 10/25/2009 — Oct. 25 (Bloomberg) -- The economy in the U.S. probably grew in the third quarter at the fastest pace in two years as government stimulus helped bring an end to the worst recession since the 1930s, economists said before reports this week. The ...
So, Where Is That Stimulus Again?
valueplays.blogspot.com 4/29/2009 — Please read paraghraph 4. Can anyone tell me how this happened when we just passed over $1 trillion is "stimulus" packages? From the BEA GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: FIRST QUARTER 2009 (ADVANCE) Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property ...
Random Thoughts on the Q3 GDP Report
calculatedriskblog.com 10/30/2009 — After the Q1 GDP report was released, I wrote: GDP Report: The Good News . The headline number in Q1 was ugly, but there was a clear shift in the negative GDP contributions from leading sectors to lagging sectors. Here is a repeat of the table from ...
On Revisions and on Conditioning
econbrowser.com 11/1/2009 — Both have to be "handled with care". Revisions We're all tempted to make predictions on the basis of the last data point. And even more difficult to resist is the temptation to make definitive statements on the basis of data that are sure to ...
A V-shaped recession?
econbrowser.com 7/2/2009 — As James Morley has pointed out, often a sharp economic downturn is followed by an equally sharp economic recovery. One reason for that is the liquidation of inventories that accompanies any recession and restocking that takes place in recovery. What ...
Will rising oil prices derail the recovery?
econbrowser.com 24 days ago — Last April I described new research on the role of oil prices in the recent recession. Here's an update on what's happened since then. In a paper presented at the Brookings Institution last spring , I examined the post-sample forecasting ...
What Does Fiscal Stimulus Mean?
moneyning.com 3/23/2009 — This is a guest post from Manshu, author of OneMint.com who started writing articles when he was majoring in finance. With the economy reeling under a recession, the word that you read quite frequently is stimulus. But what is it? First, let’s explore a few terminologies: recession, GDP, ...
Is Germany Dependent on Exports to Grow?
fistfulofeuros.net 9/30/2009 — The analysis that follows should really be taken along with Edward’s recent thoughts on the Global Imbalances situation as well as his latest economic survey of the current state of play in the German economy . Essentially, I am going to have a look at what is, arguably, one of the more ...
The financial return on energy invested
europe.theoildrum.com 6/23/2009 — Global GDP data from the USDA. Primary energy data and energy prices from the BP statistical reveiw of world energy 2009. Global GDP has grown steadily and continuously since WWII, in step with a growing global population and primary energy ...
The 4 percent solution
krugman.blogs.nytimes.com 9/29/2009 — If we get real health care reform AND we get a sane political scene the long-term fiscal outlook is serious but not scary.